Back Stats
Serie B · Jul 12, 2026 19:00

Avaí PWR 46
1-3
predicted

Nautico Recife PWR 53
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Avaí Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
35%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.56x
Over 2.5 69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
31Attack51
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
5.712.0
Avaí LLWLL
DOWN
Nautico Recife DLLDL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Avaí Nautico Rec…
#PlayerPosApp
1 Igor Bohn Goa 7.68 0 0 0 5
41 Léo Aragão Goa 7.27 0 0 0 4
2 Wallison Def 7.13 1 0 1 5
3 Allyson Def 7.07 0 1 0 3
36 Douglas Teixeira Mid 7.02 0 0 1 6
52 Wesley Gasolina Mid 6.89 0 0 0 6
10 Jean Lucas Mid 6.88 1 0 2 5
57 Walace dos Santos… For 6.8 1 0 1 4
8 Luiz Henrique Mid 6.74 0 0 0 5
16 Jamerson dos Sant… Mid 6.7 0 0 0 5
55 Bruno Baldini Def 6.69 0 0 2 3
50 Joao Victor Def 6.67 0 0 0 4
25 Paulo Vitor Mid 6.66 0 0 2 5
77 Zé Ricardo Mid 6.61 0 0 1 5
- Léo Gamalho For 6.58 0 0 1 1
95 Wenderson Mid 6.57 0 0 1 6
15 Guilherme Aquino Def 6.55 0 0 0 6
56 William Fernando Def 6.55 0 0 0 2
14 Daniel Penha Mid 6.54 0 0 0 3
43 Thayllon Roberth Mid 6.53 0 1 0 6
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.97
Avaí
vs
1.35
Nautico Recife
Goal Probability
Avaí
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Nautico Rec…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 85% 16% OVER
2.5 65% 35% -
3.5 43% 57% -
4.5 24% 76% UNDER
5.5 12% 88% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#18
Avaí
-6
Gap
#12
Nautico Rec…
WR 25% 13 pts WR 38% 21 pts
Avaí 4.0%
Jul 06 Avaí v Botafog… 3-1
Jun 28 Avaí v Athleti… 1-0
Jun 21 Avaí v Cuiabá 1-0
Jun 16 Avaí v Londrina 3-2
Jun 10 Avaí v Ceará 2-1
Jun 07 Avaí v Chapeco… 3-0
Jun 04 Avaí v Chapeco… 3-0
May 30 Avaí v Criciúma 1-2
May 28 Avaí v Volta R… 3-0
May 24 Avaí v Goiás 0-2
Nautico Recife 4.0%
Jul 05 Nautico… v Juventu… 0-0
Jun 28 Nautico… v Goiás 0-1
Jun 20 Nautico… v Vila No… 4-3
Jun 14 Nautico… v Novoriz… 2-2
Jun 09 Nautico… v Fortale… 0-1
May 30 Nautico… v Sport R… 2-0
May 22 Nautico… v Cuiabá 1-0
May 16 Nautico… v Operári… 2-6
May 10 Nautico… v América… 4-0
May 02 Nautico… v Botafog… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 21, 2021 Nautico Recife 1-2 Avaí
Aug 14, 2021 Avaí 2-0 Nautico Recife
Nov 06, 2020 Nautico Recife 2-2 Avaí
Aug 09, 2020 Avaí 3-1 Nautico Recife
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
43%
Momentum
94%
Standings
38%
Market
38%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Avaí struggling (4L in last 5)
Nautico Recife struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.