Back Stats
Serie B · Jul 18, 2026 00:00

Fortaleza PWR 57
3-2
predicted

Novorizontino PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fortaleza Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
62Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
9.00.0
Fortaleza WWDLW
STABLE
Novorizontino WWWDW
UP
Squad & Player Stats
Fortaleza Novorizonti…
#PlayerPosApp
1 João Ricardo Goa 7.75 0 0 0 3
31 Welliton For 7.25 1 0 0 4
4 Luan Freitas Def 7.04 0 1 0 4
10 Lucas Crispim Mid 6.86 0 0 0 2
32 Luiz Fernando Mid 6.79 0 0 0 4
29 Rodrigo Santos Mid 6.77 1 0 0 4
5 Pierre Mid 6.72 0 0 0 3
33 Kauã Rocha Def 6.7 0 0 0 4
18 Gabriel Fuentes Mid 6.67 0 0 0 2
2 Emanuel Brítez Def 6.65 0 0 0 4
22 Maílton Mid 6.62 0 0 0 4
88 Lucas Sasha Mid 6.55 0 0 0 4
38 Lucca Prior Mid 6.55 0 0 0 3
11 Vitinho Mid 6.47 0 0 1 4
13 Maurício Júnior Mid 6.47 0 0 1 4
37 Ryan Gustavo Mid 6.46 0 0 0 4
3 Lucas Gazal Def 6.45 0 0 0 2
9 Juan Miritello For 6.41 0 1 1 3
7 Tomás Pochettino Mid 6.41 0 0 0 3
25 Vinicius Silvestre Goa 6.25 0 0 0 4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Fortaleza
vs
1.68
Novorizontino
Goal Probability
Fortaleza
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Novorizonti…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 69% 31% OVER
2.5 43% 57% -
3.5 22% 78% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#5
Fortaleza
-2
Gap
#3
Novorizonti…
WR 75% 28 pts WR 38% 30 pts
Fortaleza 14.0%
Jul 03 Fortale… v Ponte P… 2-0
Jun 28 Fortale… v Sport R… 2-1
Jun 21 Fortale… v CRB 1-1
Jun 16 Fortale… v América… 0-3
Jun 09 Fortale… v Nautico… 0-1
Jun 06 Fortale… v Vitoria 2-1
Jun 03 Fortale… v Vitoria 1-2
May 30 Fortale… v Athleti… 1-0
May 28 Fortale… v Sport R… 0-2
May 23 Fortale… v Londrina 3-0
Novorizontino 18.0%
Jul 04 Novoriz… v Atlétic… 3-0
Jun 26 Novoriz… v Vila No… 2-1
Jun 22 Novoriz… v Ponte P… 0-2
Jun 14 Novoriz… v Nautico… 2-2
Jun 10 Novoriz… v Goiás 0-4
May 31 Novoriz… v São Ber… 1-1
May 28 Novoriz… v Chapeco… 2-2
May 23 Novoriz… v Ceará 2-1
May 21 Novoriz… v Chapeco… 0-2
May 16 Novoriz… v Cuiabá 0-0
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
59%
Momentum
39%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Novorizontino in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.