Serie B · Jul 18, 2026 19:00
Criciúma PWR 41
Vila Nova PWR 57
Criciúma PWR 41
2-1
predicted
Vila Nova PWR 57
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Criciúma Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
17Attack64
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
3.013.0
Criciúma
WWWWD
UP
Vila Nova
LWLWL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Criciúma
Vila Nova
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Hiago Alves | Mid | 8.29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 22 | Marcelo Hermes | Mid | 7.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 91 | Rómulo Otero | For | 7.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 50 | Thiaguinho | Mid | 6.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Marcinho | Def | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Waguininho | Mid | 6.87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 37 | César Martins | Def | 6.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Eduardo Biasi | Mid | 6.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 32 | Airton | Goa | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 70 | Pedro | Goa | 6.68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Luciano Castan | Def | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rodrigo Fagundes | Def | 6.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Guilherme Lobo | Mid | 6.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Fellipe Mateus | Mid | 6.35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| - | Willean Lepo | Mid | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nicolas | For | 6.03 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Jhonata Robert | For | 4.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Romarinho | For | 3.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 1 | Alisson | Goa | 3.15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 34 | Bruno Alves | Def | 3.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Criciúmavs
0.22
Vila NovaGoal Probability
Criciúma
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Vila Nova
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (20%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Criciúma+1
Gap#2
Vila Nova
WR 63% 33 pts
WR 33% 31 pts
Criciúma
18.0%
| Jul 08 | Criciúma v Ponte P… | 1-2 |
| Jul 04 | Criciúma v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Jun 27 | Criciúma v São Ber… | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Criciúma v América… | 0-1 |
| Jun 16 | Criciúma v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Jun 06 | Criciúma v Londrina | 1-0 |
| May 30 | Criciúma v Avaà | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Criciúma v Operári… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Criciúma v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Criciúma v Juventu… | 0-0 |
Vila Nova
8.0%
| Jul 10 | Vila No… v Juventu… | 1-0 |
| Jul 06 | Vila No… v São Ber… | 2-1 |
| Jun 26 | Vila No… v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Jun 20 | Vila No… v Nautico… | 4-3 |
| Jun 14 | Vila No… v Cuiabá | 1-0 |
| Jun 08 | Vila No… v Botafog… | 1-0 |
| May 31 | Vila No… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| May 24 | Vila No… v América… | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Vila No… v Avaà | 2-0 |
| May 14 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Vila Nova | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Criciúma | 1-0 | Vila Nova |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
30%
Momentum
79%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Criciúma in strong form (4W in last 5)
Vila Nova struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.