Serie B · Jul 17, 2026 22:00
São Bernardo PWR 49
Avaí PWR 46
São Bernardo PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Avaí PWR 46
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Bernardo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
40Attack31
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
6.55.7
São Bernardo
LLLDW
DOWN
Avaí
LLWLL
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
São Bernardo
Avaí
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Hyoran | Mid | 7.49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Romisson | Mid | 7.15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 26 | Dudu Miraíma | Mid | 6.91 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 1 | Alex Alves | Goa | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 35 | Jemerson | Def | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 97 | Augusto | Def | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | Rodrigo Ferreira | Def | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Daniel Davi Simão… | For | 6.73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Helder Maciel | Def | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 29 | Pedrinho | For | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Pedro Vitor | For | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Fabrício Daniel | Mid | 6.63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Foguinho | Mid | 6.61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 89 | Daniel Amorim | For | 6.61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 90 | Luizão | Def | 6.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Pará | Def | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lucas Rian | Mid | 6.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Pablo Dyego | For | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 27 | Echaporã | Mid | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Júnior Urso | Mid | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
São Bernardovs
0.45
AvaíGoal Probability
São Bernardo
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Avaí
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
São Bernardo+11
Gap#18
Avaí
WR 25% 25 pts
WR 13% 13 pts
São Bernardo
6.0%
| Jul 06 | São Ber… v Vila No… | 2-1 |
| Jun 27 | São Ber… v Criciúma | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | São Ber… v Juventu… | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | São Ber… v Sport R… | 0-0 |
| Jun 07 | São Ber… v CRB | 2-3 |
| May 31 | São Ber… v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| May 24 | São Ber… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| May 16 | São Ber… v América… | 1-1 |
| May 12 | São Ber… v Londrina | 1-3 |
| May 07 | São Ber… v Caxias | 1-1 |
Avaí
4.0%
| Jul 06 | Avaí v Botafog… | 3-1 |
| Jun 28 | Avaí v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | Avaí v Cuiabá | 1-0 |
| Jun 16 | Avaí v Londrina | 3-2 |
| Jun 10 | Avaí v Ceará | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Avaí v Chapeco… | 3-0 |
| Jun 04 | Avaí v Chapeco… | 3-0 |
| May 30 | Avaí v Criciúma | 1-2 |
| May 28 | Avaí v Volta R… | 3-0 |
| May 24 | Avaí v Goiás | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
P55+M80+S60 (86.4%)P55+M75+S65 (88.0%)RATING+GAP5 (76.2%)MOM75+P55 (77.0%)TRIPLE_SIGNAL (79.5%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
59%
Momentum
82%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Bernardo struggling (3L in last 5)
Avaí struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.