Torneo Federal A · Jul 11, 2026 18:30
Santamarina PWR 35
Santamarina PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Alvarado
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (48%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (6%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.83x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.39x
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santamarina
LLDWL
DOWN
Alvarado
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Torneo Federal A
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Santamarinavs
0.30
AlvaradoGoal Probability
Santamarina
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Alvarado
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (25%)0-0 (21%)0-2 (15%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Santamarina-7
Gap#1
Alvarado
WR 14% 12 pts
WR 47% 26 pts
Santamarina
6.0%
| Jun 28 | Santama… v Germina… | 1-0 |
| Jun 20 | Santama… v Villa M… | 0-2 |
| Jun 14 | Santama… v Circulo… | 0-0 |
| Jun 07 | Santama… v Kimberl… | 1-0 |
| May 31 | Santama… v Sol de … | 3-2 |
| May 24 | Santama… v Guiller… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Santama… v Olimpo … | 0-0 |
| May 10 | Santama… v Alvarado | 3-0 |
| Apr 25 | Santama… v Germina… | 0-0 |
| Apr 19 | Santama… v Villa M… | 0-0 |
Alvarado
14.0%
| Jul 05 | Alvarado v Germina… | 5-0 |
| Jun 28 | Alvarado v Villa M… | 1-0 |
| Jun 20 | Alvarado v Circulo… | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | Alvarado v Kimberl… | 2-2 |
| Jun 07 | Alvarado v Sol de … | 2-0 |
| May 31 | Alvarado v Guiller… | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Alvarado v Olimpo … | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Alvarado v Santama… | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Alvarado v Germina… | 1-0 |
| Apr 26 | Alvarado v Villa M… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 10, 2026 | Alvarado | 3-0 | Santamarina |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Alvarado | 3-0 | Santamarina |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
36%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alvarado in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santamarina struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.