Capital Territory NPL · Jul 11, 2026 05:00
Tuggeranong United PWR 35
Belconnen United PWR 35
Tuggeranong United PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Belconnen United PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Tuggeranong United to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-3 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-3 (2%)2-2 (2%)3-1 (2%)2-1 (1%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.77x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 96%
Over 3.5
89%
89%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tuggeranong Un…
WWLWL
STABLE
Belconnen Unit…
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): NPL
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Tuggeranong Un…vs
3.67
Belconnen Unit…Goal Probability
Tuggeranong…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Belconnen U…
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)3-1 (4%)4-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 6.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
League Position
#5
Tuggeranong…+4
Gap#9
Belconnen U…
WR 100% 27 pts
WR 0% 8 pts
Tuggeranong Un…
12.0%
| Jun 28 | Tuggera… v Canberr… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Tuggera… v O'Conno… | 2-3 |
| Jun 10 | Tuggera… v Monaro … | 1-6 |
| Jun 03 | Tuggera… v Belconn… | 1-3 |
| May 30 | Tuggera… v Canberr… | 5-0 |
| May 16 | Tuggera… v Brindab… | 5-1 |
| May 13 | Tuggera… v Canberr… | 2-3 |
| May 09 | Tuggera… v Canberr… | 6-4 |
| May 02 | Tuggera… v Cooma T… | 2-1 |
| Apr 24 | Tuggera… v Canberr… | 2-4 |
Belconnen Unit…
4.0%
| Jul 04 | Belconn… v Canberr… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Belconn… v Queanbe… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Belconn… v Brindab… | 1-4 |
| Jun 10 | Belconn… v Canberr… | 1-2 |
| Jun 03 | Belconn… v Tuggera… | 1-3 |
| May 30 | Belconn… v Canberr… | 1-4 |
| May 23 | Belconn… v Canberr… | 4-4 |
| May 16 | Belconn… v Monaro … | 1-3 |
| May 09 | Belconn… v Cooma T… | 3-2 |
| May 02 | Belconn… v O'Conno… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jun 03, 2026 | Belconnen Uni… | 1-3 | Tuggeranong U… |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Tuggeranong U… | 0-2 | Belconnen Uni… |
| May 29, 2021 | Belconnen Uni… | 1-1 | Tuggeranong U… |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Tuggeranong U… | 0-1 | Belconnen Uni… |
| Aug 09, 2020 | Tuggeranong U… | 0-0 | Belconnen Uni… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
86%
Market
41%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tuggeranong United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Belconnen United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.