Primera C · Jul 18, 2026 20:00
Mercedes PWR 35
El Porvenir PWR 35
Mercedes PWR 35
2-1
predicted
El Porvenir PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mercedes Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mercedes
WWLDD
STABLE
El Porvenir
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 78% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 115% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (40.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Mercedesvs
0.20
El PorvenirGoal Probability
Mercedes
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
El Porvenir
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Mercedes+1
Gap#8
El Porvenir
WR 50% 25 pts
WR 22% 24 pts
Mercedes
12.0%
| Jul 06 | Mercedes v Centro … | 0-3 |
| Jun 27 | Mercedes v JJ Urqu… | 5-0 |
| Jun 14 | Mercedes v Lugano | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Mercedes v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| May 30 | Mercedes v Puerto … | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Mercedes v Leandro… | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Mercedes v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Mercedes v Defenso… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Mercedes v Juventu… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Mercedes v Sacachi… | 0-0 |
El Porvenir
10.0%
| Jul 05 | El Porv… v General… | 1-1 |
| Jun 27 | El Porv… v Leones … | 0-0 |
| Jun 13 | El Porv… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Jun 07 | El Porv… v Canuelas | 0-0 |
| May 30 | El Porv… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| May 23 | El Porv… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| May 16 | El Porv… v Juventu… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | El Porv… v Central… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | El Porv… v Claypole | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | El Porv… v Central… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 21, 2026 | El Porvenir | 1-1 | Mercedes |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Mercedes | 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| Mar 18, 2025 | El Porvenir | 2-1 | Mercedes |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.