Back Stats
Primera C · Jul 18, 2026 20:00

Lugano PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Sportivo Barracas PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS No
No 17%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lugano DWWLD
STABLE
Sportivo Barra… LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 79% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Lugano
vs
0.20
Sportivo Barra…
Goal Probability
Lugano
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Sportivo Ba…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 86% 14% OVER
1.5 58% 42% -
2.5 31% 69% UNDER
3.5 13% 87% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#8
Lugano
-2
Gap
#6
Sportivo Ba…
WR 38% 25 pts WR 29% 25 pts
Lugano 12.0%
Jul 04 Lugano v JJ Urqu… 0-0
Jun 27 Lugano v Sacachi… 0-1
Jun 14 Lugano v Mercedes 1-0
Jun 06 Lugano v Argenti… 2-1
May 30 Lugano v Deporti… 0-0
May 23 Lugano v Estrell… 3-2
May 16 Lugano v Leones … 2-2
May 10 Lugano v Puerto … 3-0
May 03 Lugano v Berazat… 2-0
Apr 25 Lugano v Leandro… 2-2
Sportivo Barra… 12.0%
Jul 06 Sportiv… v Yupanqui 2-3
Jun 29 Sportiv… v Lujan 2-0
Jun 15 Sportiv… v General… 2-0
Jun 06 Sportiv… v Leones … 2-0
Jun 01 Sportiv… v Atlétic… 1-0
May 23 Sportiv… v Canuelas 3-1
May 18 Sportiv… v Defenso… 2-0
May 11 Sportiv… v Deporti… 0-0
May 04 Sportiv… v Deporti… 0-0
Apr 27 Sportiv… v Central… 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Apr 08, 2026 Sportivo Barr… 3-0 Lugano
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Sportivo Barracas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.