Queensland NPL · Jul 17, 2026 09:30
Peninsula Power PWR 35
Moreton City Exce…
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Peninsula Power PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Moreton City Excelsior to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-3 (8%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreton City E…
DLWDW
STABLE
Peninsula Power
DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): NPL
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Moreton City E…vs
3.12
Peninsula PowerGoal Probability
Moreton Cit…
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Peninsula P…
0
4%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Moreton Cit…-2
Gap#1
Peninsula P…
WR 75% 32 pts
WR 75% 42 pts
Moreton City E…
12.0%
| Jul 11 | Moreton… v Magic U… | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Moreton… v WDSC Wo… | 2-2 |
| Jun 16 | Moreton… v Rocheda… | 2-5 |
| Jun 05 | Moreton… v Eastern… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 2-5 |
| May 16 | Moreton… v Olympic | 4-3 |
| May 09 | Moreton… v Lions | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 6-0 |
Peninsula Power
18.0%
| Jul 10 | Peninsu… v WDSC Wo… | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Peninsu… v Eastern… | 1-3 |
| Jun 27 | Peninsu… v Brisban… | 3-1 |
| Jun 21 | Peninsu… v Olympic | 1-3 |
| Jun 06 | Peninsu… v Rocheda… | 0-2 |
| May 30 | Peninsu… v Gold Co… | 0-4 |
| May 23 | Peninsu… v Magic U… | 3-2 |
| May 15 | Peninsu… v Gold Co… | 2-0 |
| May 08 | Peninsu… v Brisban… | 1-4 |
| Apr 25 | Peninsu… v Lions | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Apr 18, 2026 | Peninsula Pow… | 1-4 | Moreton City … |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Peninsula Pow… | 0-2 | Moreton City … |
| May 10, 2025 | Moreton City … | 3-3 | Peninsula Pow… |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Moreton City … | 1-3 | Peninsula Pow… |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Moreton City … | 4-3 | Peninsula Pow… |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Moreton City … | 1-3 | Peninsula Pow… |
| May 11, 2024 | Peninsula Pow… | 0-0 | Moreton City … |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Peninsula Power in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.