South Australia NPL · Jul 18, 2026 07:30
West Adelaide PWR 35
Sturt Lions PWR 35
West Adelaide PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Sturt Lions PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (2%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
West Adelaide
DDDLW
STABLE
Sturt Lions
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): South Australia
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
West Adelaidevs
0.75
Sturt LionsGoal Probability
West Adelai…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Sturt Lions
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)4-2 (5%)2-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
West Adelai…+1
Gap#9
Sturt Lions
WR 25% 18 pts
WR 25% 18 pts
West Adelaide
10.0%
| Jul 04 | West Ad… v White C… | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | West Ad… v Campbel… | 0-0 |
| Jun 20 | West Ad… v Croydon… | 5-5 |
| Jun 12 | West Ad… v Adelaid… | 3-2 |
| Jun 07 | West Ad… v Adelaid… | 3-1 |
| May 31 | West Ad… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| May 23 | West Ad… v Playfor… | 1-4 |
| May 16 | West Ad… v West To… | 1-2 |
| May 09 | West Ad… v Para Hi… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | West Ad… v MetroSt… | 3-3 |
Sturt Lions
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Sturt L… v Playfor… | 1-0 |
| Jun 26 | Sturt L… v West To… | 4-1 |
| Jun 20 | Sturt L… v Para Hi… | 6-0 |
| Jun 13 | Sturt L… v MetroSt… | 1-0 |
| Jun 05 | Sturt L… v Adelaid… | 4-1 |
| May 30 | Sturt L… v White C… | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Sturt L… v Campbel… | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Sturt L… v Croydon… | 0-2 |
| May 08 | Sturt L… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Sturt L… v Adelaid… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 07, 2026 | Sturt Lions | 4-3 | West Adelaide |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Sturt Lions struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.