Queensland Premier League · Jul 18, 2026 08:00
Caboolture PWR 35
Caboolture PWR 35
3-1
predicted
St George Willawo…
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Caboolture Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caboolture
DLWLL
STABLE
St George Will…
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.38
Caboolturevs
0.85
St George Will…Goal Probability
Caboolture
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
St George W…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)4-0 (10%)5-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Caboolture+6
Gap#11
St George W…
WR 30% 26 pts
WR 20% 10 pts
Caboolture
6.0%
| Jul 11 | Caboolt… v Broadbe… | 0-0 |
| Jul 03 | Caboolt… v SC Wand… | 1-2 |
| Jun 27 | Caboolt… v Logan L… | 1-3 |
| Jun 19 | Caboolt… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Jun 06 | Caboolt… v Ipswich | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 2-1 |
| May 24 | Caboolt… v Robina … | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Caboolt… v North S… | 2-3 |
| May 09 | Caboolt… v Holland… | 3-5 |
| Apr 25 | Caboolt… v Redland… | 4-2 |
St George Will…
10.0%
| Jul 11 | St Geor… v Robina … | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | St Geor… v Capalaba | 0-2 |
| Jun 27 | St Geor… v North S… | 2-0 |
| Jun 19 | St Geor… v Holland… | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | St Geor… v Broadbe… | 4-1 |
| Jun 07 | St Geor… v Redland… | 0-3 |
| Jun 03 | St Geor… v SC Wand… | 8-0 |
| May 24 | St Geor… v Ipswich | 0-4 |
| May 10 | St Geor… v Logan L… | 0-2 |
| Apr 24 | St Geor… v Brisban… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 18, 2026 | St George Wil… | 1-1 | Caboolture |
| Jul 06, 2024 | Caboolture | 2-3 | St George Wil… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | St George Wil… | 4-0 | Caboolture |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Caboolture | 1-4 | St George Wil… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Caboolture struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.