Major League Soccer · Jul 17, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City SC PWR 44
Sporting Kansas C… PWR 35
St. Louis City SC PWR 44
3-1
predicted
Sporting Kansas C… PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St. Louis City SC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
37%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
72%
72%
Team Comparison
26Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
4.50.0
St. Louis City…
WDDWW
STABLE
Sporting Kansa…
LWWLD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
St. Louis C…
Sporting Ka…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Miguel Perez | Mid | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 1 | Roman BĂĽrki | Goa | 7.07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 99 | Jaziel Orozco | Def | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Lukas MacNaughton | Def | 6.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Marcel Hartel | For | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Conrad Wallem | Mid | 6.69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Christopher Durkin | Mid | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Eduard Löwen | Mid | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 | Dante Polvara | Def | 6.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Daniel Edelman | Mid | 6.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 32 | Timo Baumgartl | Def | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Jeong Sang-bin | For | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Simon Becher | For | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Tomas Totland | Mid | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 27 | Fallou Fall | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 | Rafael Santos | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Sergio CĂłrdova | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Cedric Teuchert | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 39 | Benjamin Lundt | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 59 | Mykhi Joyner | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
St. Louis City…vs
0.29
Sporting Kansa…Goal Probability
St. Louis C…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Sporting Ka…
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
St. Louis C…+3
Gap#15
Sporting Ka…
WR 50% 16 pts
WR 29% 11 pts
St. Louis City…
16.0%
| May 23 | St. Lou… v Austin | 3-0 |
| May 20 | St. Lou… v Houston… | 2-2 |
| May 17 | St. Lou… v DC Unit… | 1-1 |
| May 14 | St. Lou… v Los Ang… | 2-1 |
| May 10 | St. Lou… v Colorad… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | St. Lou… v Austin | 2-0 |
| Apr 30 | St. Lou… v Chicago… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | St. Lou… v San Jos… | 2-3 |
| Apr 19 | St. Lou… v Seattle… | 4-1 |
| Apr 16 | St. Lou… v FC Tulsa | 4-0 |
Sporting Kansa…
10.0%
| May 24 | Sportin… v New Yor… | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Sportin… v Austin | 1-2 |
| May 14 | Sportin… v Los Ang… | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Sportin… v Portlan… | 6-0 |
| May 02 | Sportin… v Seattle… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Sportin… v Chicago… | 5-0 |
| Apr 18 | Sportin… v Vancouv… | 3-0 |
| Apr 15 | Sportin… v Colorad… | 3-0 |
| Apr 12 | Sportin… v San Jos… | 1-3 |
| Apr 04 | Sportin… v Real Sa… | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Key Factors
St. Louis City SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.