Major League Soccer · Jul 17, 2026 04:30
Seattle Sounders PWR 41
Portland Timbers PWR 39
Seattle Sounders PWR 41
4-1
predicted
Portland Timbers PWR 39
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Seattle Sounders Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
16Attack12
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.61.5
Seattle Sounde…
LLWDD
DOWN
Portland Timbe…
LLDWL
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
Seattle Sou…
Portland Ti…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Stefan Frei | Goa | 6.97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | JesĂşs Ferreira | Mid | 6.89 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Jordan Morris | Mid | 6.83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 25 | Jackson Ragen | Def | 6.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Alex Roldán | Def | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 85 | Kalani Kossa-Rien… | Mid | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Albert Rusnák | Mid | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Nouhou Tolo | Def | 6.57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 35 | Antino Lopez | Def | 6.51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 31 | Hassani Dotson | Mid | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 37 | Snyder Brunell | Mid | 6.48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 26 | Andrew Thomas | Goa | 6.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 45 | Peter Kingston | Mid | 6.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Paul Arriola | Mid | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Paul Rothrock | Mid | 6.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Cristian Roldán | Mid | 6.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 19 | Daniel Musovski | For | 6.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 90 | Sebastian Gomez | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 36 | Yu Tsukanome | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 50 | Max Anchor | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
Seattle Sounde…vs
0.64
Portland Timbe…Goal Probability
Seattle Sou…
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Portland Ti…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Seattle Sou…+7
Gap#13
Portland Ti…
WR 67% 24 pts
WR 13% 14 pts
Seattle Sounde…
8.0%
| May 25 | Seattle… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Seattle… v Los Ang… | 0-2 |
| May 14 | Seattle… v San Jos… | 3-2 |
| May 10 | Seattle… v San Die… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Seattle… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Seattle… v FC Dall… | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Seattle… v St. Lou… | 4-1 |
| Apr 16 | Seattle… v Tigres … | 3-1 |
| Apr 09 | Seattle… v Tigres … | 2-0 |
| Apr 05 | Seattle… v Houston… | 0-1 |
Portland Timbe…
6.0%
| May 24 | Portlan… v San Jos… | 1-3 |
| May 18 | Portlan… v Inter M… | 2-0 |
| May 14 | Portlan… v Montréa… | 2-2 |
| May 10 | Portlan… v Sportin… | 6-0 |
| May 02 | Portlan… v Real Sa… | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | Portlan… v San Die… | 1-2 |
| Apr 19 | Portlan… v Minneso… | 2-0 |
| Apr 11 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 2-1 |
| Apr 05 | Portlan… v Vancouv… | 3-2 |
| Mar 22 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Seattle Sound… | 1-0 | Portland Timb… |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Seattle Sound… | 1-1 | Portland Timb… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portland Timbers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.