Premier League · Jul 12, 2026 14:00
FC Astana PWR 35
Aktobe PWR 35
FC Astana PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Aktobe PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Astana Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Astana
WWDLW
STABLE
Aktobe
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
FC Astanavs
0.20
AktobeGoal Probability
FC Astana
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Aktobe
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
FC Astana+1
Gap#6
Aktobe
WR 88% 26 pts
WR 0% 25 pts
FC Astana
14.0%
| Jul 09 | FC Asta… v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Jul 03 | FC Asta… v Zhenys | 1-0 |
| Jun 28 | FC Asta… v Zhenys | 2-2 |
| Jun 21 | FC Asta… v Aktobe | 2-0 |
| Jun 14 | FC Asta… v Irtysh | 2-0 |
| May 27 | FC Asta… v Altay | 1-1 |
| May 22 | FC Asta… v Ulytau | 3-0 |
| May 16 | FC Asta… v Okzhetp… | 1-0 |
| May 09 | FC Asta… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | FC Asta… v Kaspiy | 1-0 |
Aktobe
14.0%
| Jul 05 | Aktobe v Zhetysu | 2-1 |
| Jun 27 | Aktobe v Zhetysu | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | Aktobe v FC Asta… | 2-0 |
| Jun 14 | Aktobe v Altay | 2-0 |
| May 28 | Aktobe v Okzhetp… | 2-2 |
| May 23 | Aktobe v Kyzyl-Z… | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Aktobe v Atyrau | 1-1 |
| May 13 | Aktobe v Altay | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Aktobe v Kaisar | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Aktobe v Ordabasy | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 21, 2026 | Aktobe | 2-0 | FC Astana |
| Oct 19, 2025 | FC Astana | 5-3 | Aktobe |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Aktobe | 0-1 | FC Astana |
| Oct 27, 2024 | FC Astana | 2-0 | Aktobe |
| May 04, 2024 | Aktobe | 1-1 | FC Astana |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Aktobe | 2-0 | FC Astana |
| Mar 14, 2023 | FC Astana | 1-4 | Aktobe |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Aktobe | 4-1 | FC Astana |
| Mar 17, 2022 | FC Astana | 1-0 | Aktobe |
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Astana | 2-1 | Aktobe |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
47%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Astana in strong form (3W in last 5)
Aktobe in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.