Premier League · Jul 12, 2026 14:00
Atyrau PWR 35
Yelimay Semey
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Atyrau PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Yelimay Semey Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Yelimay Semey
DWWWL
STABLE
Atyrau
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Yelimay Semeyvs
0.22
AtyrauGoal Probability
Yelimay Sem…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Atyrau
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Yelimay Sem…+4
Gap#8
Atyrau
WR 38% 26 pts
WR 11% 18 pts
Yelimay Semey
14.0%
| Jul 09 | Yelimay… v Alashke… | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Yelimay… v Kyzyl-Z… | 0-1 |
| Jun 27 | Yelimay… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Yelimay… v Atyrau | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Yelimay… v Ordabasy | 1-3 |
| May 28 | Yelimay… v Kaisar | 2-3 |
| May 23 | Yelimay… v Zhenys | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Yelimay… v Irtysh | 2-2 |
| May 09 | Yelimay… v Kaspiy | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Yelimay… v Ulytau | 1-0 |
Atyrau
4.0%
| Jul 05 | Atyrau v Kaspiy | 1-2 |
| Jun 27 | Atyrau v Kaspiy | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Atyrau v Yelimay… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Atyrau v Kairat … | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Atyrau v FK Tobo… | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Atyrau v Aktobe | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Atyrau v Okzhetp… | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Atyrau v Altay | 1-0 |
| Apr 29 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jun 21, 2026 | Atyrau | 1-2 | Yelimay Semey |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Yelimay Semey | 3-2 | Atyrau |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Atyrau | 2-1 | Yelimay Semey |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atyrau | 1-0 | Yelimay Semey |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Yelimay Semey | 0-0 | Atyrau |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Yelimay Semey in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atyrau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.