Eliteserien · Jul 11, 2026 12:00
Fredrikstad PWR 35
Lillestrøm PWR 41
Fredrikstad PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Lillestrøm PWR 41
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Fredrikstad to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.71x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.58x
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack18
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.02.5
Fredrikstad
LWDWL
STABLE
Lillestrøm
LLLLW
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No player data | |||||||
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fredrikstadvs
0.25
LillestrømGoal Probability
Fredrikstad
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Lillestrøm
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Fredrikstad-6
Gap#4
Lillestrøm
WR 60% 14 pts
WR 50% 19 pts
Fredrikstad
10.0%
| Jul 04 | Fredrik… v Våleren… | 3-1 |
| May 29 | Fredrik… v Start | 2-1 |
| May 25 | Fredrik… v Sandefj… | 1-1 |
| May 16 | Fredrik… v HamKam | 2-1 |
| May 09 | Fredrik… v Sarpsbo… | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Fredrik… v Brann | 3-1 |
| Apr 25 | Fredrik… v Viking | 1-2 |
| Apr 19 | Fredrik… v Kristia… | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Fredrik… v Våleren… | 1-1 |
| Apr 07 | Fredrik… v Aalesund | 2-3 |
Lillestrøm
4.0%
| Jun 26 | Lillest… v Degerfo… | 2-3 |
| Jun 20 | Lillest… v FC Midt… | 1-0 |
| May 25 | Lillest… v HamKam | 2-0 |
| May 20 | Lillest… v Kristia… | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Lillest… v Sandefj… | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Lillest… v Rosenbo… | 2-0 |
| May 03 | Lillest… v Sarpsbo… | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | Lillest… v Bodø/Gl… | 0-2 |
| Apr 19 | Lillest… v Våleren… | 0-2 |
| Apr 15 | Lillest… v Tromsø … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Lillestrøm | 2-2 | Fredrikstad |
| May 21, 2025 | Lillestrøm | 1-1 | Fredrikstad |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Fredrikstad | 1-0 | Lillestrøm |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Fredrikstad | 2-1 | Lillestrøm |
| May 20, 2024 | Lillestrøm | 0-3 | Fredrikstad |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Lillestrøm | 2-1 | Fredrikstad |
| Mar 04, 2022 | Fredrikstad | 1-1 | Lillestrøm |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
38%
Market
39%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lillestrøm struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.