Major League Soccer · Jul 17, 2026 01:30
Montréal Impact PWR 35
Toronto FC PWR 40
Montréal Impact PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Toronto FC PWR 40
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Montréal Impact Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
83%
83%
Team Comparison
0Attack16
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.03.5
Montréal Impact
WDLDW
STABLE
Toronto FC
LLLLD
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
Montréal Im…
Toronto FC
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Wikelman Carmona | Mid | 6.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Efraín Morales | Def | 6.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Dawid Bugaj | Def | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Luca Petrasso | Def | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Dagur Dan Þórhall… | Mid | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Thomas Gillier | Goa | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Iván Jaime | Mid | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brayan Vera | Def | 6.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Matthew Longstaff | Mid | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Victor Loturi | Mid | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Prince-Osei Owusu | For | 6.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Olger Escobar | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Kwadwo Opoku | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Daniel Rios | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Hennadiy Synchuk | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Sebastian Breza | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Samuel Piette | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brandan Craig | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Tomás Avilés | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Fabian Herbers | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.05
Montréal Impactvs
0.48
Toronto FCGoal Probability
Montréal Im…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Toronto FC
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 6.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
League Position
#11
Montréal Im…+2
Gap#13
Toronto FC
WR 50% 14 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Montréal Impact
12.0%
| Jul 09 | Montréa… v Vancouv… | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Montréa… v DC Unit… | 4-4 |
| May 16 | Montréa… v Chicago… | 0-2 |
| May 14 | Montréa… v Portlan… | 2-2 |
| May 09 | Montréa… v Orlando… | 2-0 |
| May 06 | Montréa… v Calgary… | 5-0 |
| May 03 | Montréa… v Atlanta… | 3-1 |
| Apr 25 | Montréa… v New Yor… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Montréa… v New Yor… | 4-1 |
| Apr 11 | Montréa… v Philade… | 1-2 |
Toronto FC
2.0%
| May 24 | Toronto… v Chicago… | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Toronto… v Charlot… | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Toronto… v Inter M… | 2-4 |
| May 05 | Toronto… v Atlétic… | 1-3 |
| May 02 | Toronto… v San Jos… | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Toronto… v Atlanta… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | Toronto… v Philade… | 3-3 |
| Apr 18 | Toronto… v Austin | 3-3 |
| Apr 11 | Toronto… v FC Cinc… | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | Toronto… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Toronto FC | 1-1 | Montréal Impa… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Toronto FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.