USL Championship · Jul 15, 2026 23:00
Lexington PWR 35
New Mexico United PWR 35
Lexington PWR 35
1-1
predicted
New Mexico United PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.49x
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lexington
WDWDW
STABLE
New Mexico Uni…
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Lexingtonvs
0.20
New Mexico Uni…Goal Probability
Lexington
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
New Mexico …
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Lexington-6
Gap#3
New Mexico …
WR 50% 18 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
Lexington
16.0%
| Jul 04 | Lexingt… v Tampa B… | 1-4 |
| Jun 20 | Lexingt… v Indy El… | 0-0 |
| Jun 13 | Lexingt… v San Ant… | 2-0 |
| Jun 06 | Lexingt… v Detroit… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Lexingt… v El Paso… | 1-4 |
| May 23 | Lexingt… v Indy El… | 3-1 |
| May 08 | Lexingt… v Montere… | 3-1 |
| May 03 | Lexingt… v Las Veg… | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | Lexingt… v Forward… | 4-2 |
| Apr 19 | Lexingt… v Orange … | 0-0 |
New Mexico Uni…
16.0%
| Jul 05 | New Mex… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | New Mex… v Atlante… | 3-3 |
| Jun 21 | New Mex… v Sacrame… | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | New Mex… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Jun 07 | New Mex… v Phoenix… | 4-0 |
| May 30 | New Mex… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| May 24 | New Mex… v Charles… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | New Mex… v Tampa B… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | New Mex… v Colorad… | 4-0 |
| May 10 | New Mex… v Las Veg… | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
38%
Market
61%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lexington in strong form (3W in last 5)
New Mexico United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.