Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 18, 2026 19:00

Deportivo Cuenca PWR 45
2-1
predicted

Universidad Catól… PWR 37
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Deportivo Cuenca Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (18%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5 76%
76%
BTTS No
No 18%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
30Attack6
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
5.22.0
Deportivo Cuen… LDWLD
STABLE
Universidad Ca… LLLLW
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
Deportivo C… Universidad…
#PlayerPosApp
30 Mateo Maccari Mid 7.03 0 0 2 7
1 Facundo Ferrero Goa 7.01 0 0 0 7
37 Carlos Arboleda Mid 6.97 0 0 0 7
29 Matías Klimowicz For 6.95 1 0 0 7
7 Lucas Mancinelli Mid 6.92 0 0 0 4
28 Patricio Boolsen Def 6.91 0 0 1 6
49 David González Mid 6.82 0 1 1 7
43 Jorge Ordóñez Mid 6.81 1 0 0 6
16 Jeremy Mejia Mid 6.74 0 0 0 7
20 Bryan García Mid 6.69 0 0 0 7
6 Santiago Postel Def 6.64 0 0 0 6
2 Ignacio Mosquera Mid 6.52 0 0 0 7
18 Mateo Piedra Mid 6.49 0 0 1 5
19 Melvin Diaz Mid 6.37 0 0 0 7
21 Stalin Morocho Mid 6.34 0 0 0 7
53 Yeltzin Erique Def 6.34 0 0 0 7
8 Edison Vega Mid 6.33 0 0 0 7
9 Nicolás Leguizamón For 6.3 0 0 0 6
11 Germán Rivero For 6.3 0 0 0 6
14 Jeremy Chacon Mid 6.27 0 0 0 6
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Deportivo Cuen…
vs
0.27
Universidad Ca…
Goal Probability
Deportivo C…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Universidad…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 89% 11% OVER
1.5 64% 36% -
2.5 37% 63% -
3.5 18% 82% UNDER
4.5 7% 93% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#5
Deportivo C…
+1
Gap
#6
Universidad…
WR 38% 27 pts WR 25% 26 pts
Deportivo Cuen… 8.0%
Jul 05 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-0
Jun 02 Deporti… v La Unión 0-0
May 31 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
May 27 Deporti… v Santos 3-0
May 24 Deporti… v LDU Qui… 1-1
May 20 Deporti… v Deporti… 2-2
May 16 Deporti… v Liberta… 0-1
May 09 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-1
May 06 Deporti… v San Lor… 0-0
May 02 Deporti… v Tecnico… 2-1
Universidad Ca… 4.0%
Jul 10 Univers… v Leones … 1-0
Jul 06 Univers… v Mushuc … 2-3
May 31 Univers… v Emelec 1-0
May 28 Univers… v El Naci… 1-4
May 23 Univers… v Orense … 1-2
May 16 Univers… v Delfín … 2-2
May 14 Univers… v Indepen… 0-3
May 09 Univers… v Aucas 2-1
May 01 Univers… v Indepen… 2-3
Apr 27 Univers… v Manta 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 17, 2026 Universidad C… 1-0 Deportivo Cue…
Sep 28, 2025 Universidad C… 2-1 Deportivo Cue…
Jun 01, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 3-1 Universidad C…
Aug 18, 2024 Deportivo Cue… 1-2 Universidad C…
Mar 17, 2024 Universidad C… 3-3 Deportivo Cue…
Oct 07, 2023 Deportivo Cue… 2-3 Universidad C…
May 06, 2023 Universidad C… 1-0 Deportivo Cue…
Aug 07, 2022 Universidad C… 0-2 Deportivo Cue…
Mar 22, 2022 Deportivo Cue… 0-2 Universidad C…
Oct 02, 2021 Universidad C… 3-2 Deportivo Cue…
Decision Breakdown
MOM75+P55 (77.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
60%
Momentum
82%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Universidad Católica struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.