Queensland NPL · Jul 11, 2026 08:00
Moreton City Exce…
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Magic United
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 81% home + 12% draw = 93% combined
97%
accuracy
1.13x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Moreton City Excelsior to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
Tier
MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (4%)3-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)2-2 (3%)2-0 (3%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
93%
Home/Draw
1.13x
DC X2
Away/Draw
5.62x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
82%
82%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreton City E…
LWDWD
STABLE
Magic United
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): NPL
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Moreton City E…vs
1.46
Magic UnitedGoal Probability
Moreton Cit…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Magic United
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 6.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Moreton Cit…+8
Gap#11
Magic United
WR 75% 32 pts
WR 25% 13 pts
Moreton City E…
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Moreton… v WDSC Wo… | 2-2 |
| Jun 16 | Moreton… v Rocheda… | 2-5 |
| Jun 05 | Moreton… v Eastern… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 2-5 |
| May 16 | Moreton… v Olympic | 4-3 |
| May 09 | Moreton… v Lions | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 6-0 |
| Apr 18 | Moreton… v Peninsu… | 1-4 |
Magic United
8.0%
| Jul 05 | Magic U… v Gold Co… | 1-3 |
| Jun 27 | Magic U… v Brisban… | 3-5 |
| Jun 19 | Magic U… v Gold Co… | 2-1 |
| Jun 06 | Magic U… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Jun 03 | Magic U… v Rocheda… | 4-0 |
| May 31 | Magic U… v Lions | 3-5 |
| May 23 | Magic U… v Peninsu… | 3-2 |
| May 10 | Magic U… v WDSC Wo… | 1-3 |
| Apr 24 | Magic U… v Olympic | 2-0 |
| Apr 18 | Magic U… v Eastern… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 07, 2026 | Magic United | 0-5 | Moreton City … |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
98%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Magic United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.