Victoria NPL · Jul 11, 2026 05:00
Heidelberg United PWR 35
Melbourne City II
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Heidelberg United PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-3 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.11x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.42x
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne City…
WWLLW
STABLE
Heidelberg Uni…
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): NPL
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Melbourne City…vs
1.67
Heidelberg Uni…Goal Probability
Melbourne C…
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Heidelberg …
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Melbourne C…-2
Gap#5
Heidelberg …
WR 25% 29 pts
WR 56% 31 pts
Melbourne City…
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Melbour… v Altona … | 0-3 |
| Jun 26 | Melbour… v St. Alb… | 0-2 |
| Jun 19 | Melbour… v Oakleig… | 3-1 |
| May 30 | Melbour… v Dandeno… | 0-1 |
| May 24 | Melbour… v Dandeno… | 2-0 |
| May 15 | Melbour… v Green G… | 1-3 |
| May 08 | Melbour… v Bentlei… | 0-7 |
| May 01 | Melbour… v South M… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Melbour… v Hume Ci… | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Melbour… v Avondale | 3-1 |
Heidelberg Uni…
6.0%
| Jul 03 | Heidelb… v St. Alb… | 1-1 |
| Jun 26 | Heidelb… v Oakleig… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Heidelb… v Preston… | 0-1 |
| Jun 05 | Heidelb… v Dandeno… | 4-1 |
| May 29 | Heidelb… v Dandeno… | 4-2 |
| May 22 | Heidelb… v Green G… | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Heidelb… v Bentlei… | 2-2 |
| May 08 | Heidelb… v South M… | 4-0 |
| May 02 | Heidelb… v Hume Ci… | 2-1 |
| Apr 24 | Heidelb… v Avondale | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 27, 2026 | Heidelberg Un… | 1-1 | Melbourne Cit… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Melbourne City II in strong form (3W in last 5)
Heidelberg United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.