Esiliiga A · Jul 11, 2026 16:00
FC Tallinn PWR 35
Elva PWR 35
FC Tallinn PWR 35
2-3
predicted
Elva PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Elva Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.33x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Tallinn
WLLLW
STABLE
Elva
DWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
FC Tallinnvs
1.59
ElvaGoal Probability
FC Tallinn
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Elva
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)0-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
FC Tallinn-6
Gap#4
Elva
WR 33% 17 pts
WR 25% 24 pts
FC Tallinn
8.0%
| Jul 04 | FC Tall… v Nõmme U… | 4-3 |
| Jun 21 | FC Tall… v FCI Lev… | 4-0 |
| Jun 18 | FC Tall… v Flora II | 1-3 |
| Jun 13 | FC Tall… v Tartu W… | 4-0 |
| Jun 01 | FC Tall… v Nõmme K… | 1-3 |
| May 28 | FC Tall… v Maardu | 0-0 |
| May 24 | FC Tall… v Viimsi | 0-2 |
| May 14 | FC Tall… v Tallinn… | 1-1 |
| May 07 | FC Tall… v Elva | 2-0 |
| May 01 | FC Tall… v Tartu W… | 0-2 |
Elva
14.0%
| Jul 05 | Elva v Nõmme K… | 2-2 |
| Jun 30 | Elva v Järva-J… | 0-4 |
| Jun 22 | Elva v Flora II | 0-3 |
| Jun 18 | Elva v Viimsi | 0-1 |
| Jun 11 | Elva v Maardu | 4-3 |
| Jun 01 | Elva v Tartu W… | 0-2 |
| May 28 | Elva v FCI Lev… | 1-3 |
| May 24 | Elva v Tallinn… | 3-1 |
| May 16 | Elva v Nõmme U… | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Elva v FC Tall… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 07, 2026 | Elva | 2-0 | FC Tallinn |
| Mar 07, 2026 | FC Tallinn | 1-1 | Elva |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Elva | 1-0 | FC Tallinn |
| Aug 16, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 1-2 | Elva |
| May 22, 2025 | Elva | 1-1 | FC Tallinn |
| Apr 24, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 1-1 | Elva |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Elva | 0-1 | FC Tallinn |
| Aug 10, 2024 | FC Tallinn | 3-4 | Elva |
| May 30, 2024 | FC Tallinn | 4-0 | Elva |
| May 04, 2024 | Elva | 2-3 | FC Tallinn |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
38%
Market
35%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Elva in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Tallinn struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.