Liga Pro · Jul 15, 2026 22:00
Leones del Norte PWR 40
Deportivo Cuenca PWR 45
Leones del Norte PWR 40
0-1
predicted
Deportivo Cuenca PWR 45
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Deportivo Cuenca to win (87% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
87%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (17%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
16Attack30
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
3.55.2
Leones del Nor…
WWDLL
STABLE
Deportivo Cuen…
LDWLD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Leones del …
Deportivo C…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jairo Mairongo | Mid | 7.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Elián Pepinós | Mid | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Maiky De La Cruz | Def | 6.94 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 40 | Juan AnangonĂł | For | 6.9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Jorge Cabeza | Mid | 6.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 34 | Segundo Portocarr… | Mid | 6.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | Nicolás Monserrat | Def | 6.79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Jordan Morán | Def | 6.77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 70 | DarĂo Pazmiño | Mid | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | TobĂas Coppo | Mid | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 99 | Cristhian Solano | Mid | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 32 | Ariel Aguas | Def | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 45 | Leonel Nazareno | Goa | 6.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Charles VĂ©lez | Mid | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jonathan Arroyo | Mid | 6.37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | MartĂn Caramuto | Mid | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Emiliano Griffa | Mid | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Anthony Folleco | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 27 | Nestor Caicedo | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| - | Brian Kreiman | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Leones del Nor…vs
0.20
Deportivo Cuen…Goal Probability
Leones del …
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Deportivo C…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Leones del …-4
Gap#5
Deportivo C…
WR 56% 23 pts
WR 56% 27 pts
Leones del Nor…
10.0%
| Jul 10 | Leones … v Univers… | 1-0 |
| Jul 04 | Leones … v Liberta… | 1-3 |
| Jun 01 | Leones … v Macará | 1-1 |
| May 29 | Leones … v Huaquil… | 0-1 |
| May 24 | Leones … v Tecnico… | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Leones … v Mushuc … | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Leones … v Orense … | 2-0 |
| May 03 | Leones … v Emelec | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Leones … v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Leones … v Manta | 3-0 |
Deportivo Cuen…
8.0%
| Jul 05 | Deporti… v Barcelo… | 2-0 |
| Jun 02 | Deporti… v La Unión | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Deporti… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| May 27 | Deporti… v Santos | 3-0 |
| May 24 | Deporti… v LDU Qui… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| May 16 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 0-1 |
| May 09 | Deporti… v Guayaqu… | 0-1 |
| May 06 | Deporti… v San Lor… | 0-0 |
| May 02 | Deporti… v Tecnico… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 14, 2026 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-1 | Leones del No… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.