Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 16, 2026 21:30

Aucas PWR 37
2-3
predicted

Independiente del… PWR 35
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Independiente del Valle Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
37%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
5Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
1.50.0
Aucas WDWLL
STABLE
Independiente … LWWWL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Aucas Independien…
#PlayerPosApp
3 John Ontaneda Def 6.8 0 0 0 3
6 Agostino Spina Mid 6.77 0 0 0 4
2 Santiago Morales Def 6.73 0 0 0 4
10 Ayrton Preciado Mid 6.68 0 0 0 4
37 Alex Zova Def 6.6 0 0 0 4
18 Andres Mena Mid 6.59 0 0 0 4
13 Hamilton Piedra Goa 6.58 0 0 0 4
16 Luis Gustavino Def 6.55 0 0 0 4
89 Alexander Sosa Mid 6.53 0 0 0 3
28 Ederson Quiñónez Mid 6.42 0 0 0 4
29 Luis Arroyo Mid 6.41 0 0 1 4
21 Piero Guzmán Mid 6.39 0 0 1 4
33 Snayder Porozo Mid 6.29 0 0 0 4
- Bruno Miranda For 6.25 0 0 0 1
- Jose Caicedo For - 0 0 0 1
91 Danny Luna For - 0 0 0 4
- Virgilio Olaya Def - 0 0 0 1
14 Stiven Tapiero Mid - 0 0 0 3
99 Erick Japa For - 0 0 0 2
- Byron CarabalĂ­ Def - 0 0 0 1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Aucas
vs
1.69
Independiente …
Goal Probability
Aucas
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Independien…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 73% 27% OVER
2.5 48% 52% -
3.5 26% 74% UNDER
4.5 12% 88% UNDER
5.5 5% 95% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#3
Aucas
-2
Gap
#1
Independien…
WR 67% 29 pts WR 88% 40 pts
Aucas 10.0%
Jul 08 Aucas v Guayaqu… 1-0
May 31 Aucas v Mushuc … 0-0
May 26 Aucas v Manta 3-1
May 21 Aucas v San Ant… 0-3
May 17 Aucas v Barcelo… 3-0
May 09 Aucas v Univers… 2-1
May 02 Aucas v Liberta… 3-2
Apr 28 Aucas v Delfín … 1-0
Apr 23 Aucas v LDU Qui… 0-0
Apr 17 Aucas v Leones … 0-1
Independiente … 12.0%
Jul 08 Indepen… v Santo D… 0-2
Jul 04 Indepen… v Manta 4-0
May 31 Indepen… v Guayaqu… 2-4
May 28 Indepen… v Rosario… 1-0
May 23 Indepen… v Liberta… 2-3
May 20 Indepen… v Liberta… 4-1
May 16 Indepen… v Macará 0-3
May 14 Indepen… v Univers… 0-3
May 10 Indepen… v Barcelo… 1-0
May 06 Indepen… v UCV 2-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 14, 2026 Independiente… 2-2 Aucas
Jul 19, 2025 Independiente… 2-1 Aucas
Mar 28, 2025 Aucas 1-2 Independiente…
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
50%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Independiente del Valle in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.