Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 15, 2026 22:00

Universidad Catól… PWR 37
3-1
predicted

LDU Quito PWR 46
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
LDU Quito Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
37%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
6Attack31
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.06.2
Universidad Ca… LLLLW
DOWN
LDU Quito DLWDW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Universidad… LDU Quito
#PlayerPosApp
- Luis Canga Def 6.86 0 0 0 1
24 Darwin Nazareno Def 6.68 0 0 0 2
18 Byron Palacios Mid 6.65 0 0 0 2
22 Rafael Romo Goa 6.63 0 0 0 2
32 Mauricio Alonso Mid 6.55 0 0 0 2
9 Azarias Londoño Mid 6.42 0 0 0 2
8 Emiliano Clavijo Mid 6.35 0 0 0 2
15 Luis Moreno Mid 6.35 0 0 0 2
30 Eddy Mejía Mid 6.34 0 0 0 2
5 Jerónimo Cacciabue Mid 6.31 0 0 0 2
23 Álex Rodríguez Mid 6.3 0 0 0 2
7 José Fajardo For 6.28 0 0 0 2
- Mauro Díaz Mid 6.25 0 0 0 1
44 Eric Valencia Def 6.15 0 0 0 2
4 Jhon Chancellor Def 6.06 0 0 0 2
19 Marcos Sevillano Mid 5.64 0 0 0 2
29 Gregori Anangonó Def 4.97 0 0 0 2
17 Rooney Troya Mid - 0 0 0 2
26 Saenddy Yanez For - 0 0 0 2
10 Facundo Martinez Mid - 0 0 0 2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.5%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Universidad Ca…
vs
2.03
LDU Quito
Goal Probability
Universidad…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
LDU Quito
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-3 (9%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 64% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 97% UNDER
League Position
#6
Universidad…
-2
Gap
#4
LDU Quito
WR 56% 26 pts WR 44% 27 pts
Universidad Ca… 4.0%
Jul 10 Univers… v Leones … 1-0
Jul 06 Univers… v Mushuc … 2-3
May 31 Univers… v Emelec 1-0
May 28 Univers… v El Naci… 1-4
May 23 Univers… v Orense … 1-2
May 16 Univers… v Delfín … 2-2
May 14 Univers… v Indepen… 0-3
May 09 Univers… v Aucas 2-1
May 01 Univers… v Indepen… 2-3
Apr 27 Univers… v Manta 1-0
LDU Quito 12.0%
Jul 09 LDU Qui… v UT Coto… 1-1
Jul 05 LDU Qui… v Macará 1-0
Jul 01 LDU Qui… v Orense … 3-0
Jun 18 LDU Qui… v FBC Mel… 0-0
May 27 LDU Qui… v Always … 3-2
May 24 LDU Qui… v Deporti… 1-1
May 21 LDU Qui… v Lanús 2-0
May 15 LDU Qui… v Tecnico… 2-1
May 12 LDU Qui… v Mushuc … 1-3
May 08 LDU Qui… v Mirassol 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 15, 2026 LDU Quito 1-1 Universidad C…
Dec 21, 2025 LDU Quito 2-0 Universidad C…
Dec 19, 2025 LDU Quito 2-3 Universidad C…
Oct 05, 2025 Universidad C… 2-2 LDU Quito
Sep 21, 2025 LDU Quito 2-4 Universidad C…
May 24, 2025 Universidad C… 3-1 LDU Quito
Nov 24, 2024 Universidad C… 2-4 LDU Quito
May 26, 2024 LDU Quito 2-1 Universidad C…
Feb 18, 2024 LDU Quito 2-0 Universidad C…
Nov 02, 2023 LDU Quito 1-0 Universidad C…
Decision Breakdown
Player
42%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Universidad Católica struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.