Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 17, 2026 00:00

Orense SC PWR 41
2-0
predicted

Emelec PWR 48
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Orense SC Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
Tier SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5 78%
78%
BTTS No
No 24%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
17Attack37
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
4.07.7
Orense SC DLLWL
STABLE
Emelec DWWDD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Orense SC Emelec
#PlayerPosApp
5 Alan Lorenzo Def 7.34 0 0 0 2
- Rolando Silva Goa 7.24 0 0 0 1
13 Ángel Mena Mid 6.9 0 0 0 2
25 Renny Jaramillo Mid 6.65 0 0 0 2
8 Diego Armas Mid 6.61 0 0 0 2
7 Sergio Vásquez Mid 6.56 0 0 0 2
19 Michael Bermúdez For 6.55 0 0 0 2
54 Erick Zambrano Mid 6.47 0 0 0 2
14 Erick Plúas Mid 6.45 0 0 0 2
21 Gonzalo Martin Ro… Mid 6.28 0 0 0 2
45 Óscar Quiñónez Def 6.28 0 0 1 2
31 Pedro Velasco Def 6.25 0 0 0 2
77 Bryan Viñán Def 6.03 0 0 0 2
15 Beder Caicedo Def 5.9 0 0 0 2
11 Agustin Herrera For 5.85 0 0 0 2
- Sixto Mina Def 5.28 0 0 0 1
50 Eddie Hernandez Mid - 0 0 0 2
- Paul Charpentier For - 0 0 0 1
53 Luis Garces For - 0 0 0 2
- Valentín Burgoa Mid - 0 0 0 1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (37.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Orense SC
vs
0.41
Emelec
Goal Probability
Orense SC
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Emelec
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 77% 24% OVER
1.5 43% 58% -
2.5 18% 82% UNDER
3.5 6% 94% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#10
Orense SC
+2
Gap
#12
Emelec
WR 33% 23 pts WR 13% 20 pts
Orense SC 6.0%
Jul 11 Orense … v Manta 0-0
Jul 07 Orense … v Tecnico… 1-2
Jul 01 Orense … v LDU Qui… 3-0
May 27 Orense … v Cuniburo 2-1
May 23 Orense … v Univers… 1-2
May 19 Orense … v Guayaqu… 0-1
May 09 Orense … v Leones … 2-0
May 03 Orense … v Macará 1-2
Apr 26 Orense … v Barcelo… 1-1
Apr 22 Orense … v Deporti… 1-3
Emelec 14.0%
Jul 05 Emelec v Delfín … 1-1
May 31 Emelec v Univers… 1-0
May 24 Emelec v Macará 2-0
May 20 Emelec v Daquile… 0-0
May 17 Emelec v Manta 0-0
May 10 Emelec v Liberta… 1-1
May 03 Emelec v Leones … 2-0
Apr 25 Emelec v LDU Qui… 1-0
Apr 22 Emelec v Tecnico… 0-1
Apr 18 Emelec v Guayaqu… 1-3
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 15, 2026 Emelec 2-1 Orense SC
Sep 28, 2025 Orense SC 0-0 Emelec
Jun 01, 2025 Emelec 1-0 Orense SC
Sep 02, 2024 Emelec 2-1 Orense SC
Mar 26, 2024 Orense SC 1-1 Emelec
Aug 13, 2023 Emelec 0-0 Orense SC
Mar 06, 2023 Orense SC 2-1 Emelec
Oct 10, 2022 Emelec 0-0 Orense SC
May 15, 2022 Orense SC 2-0 Emelec
Oct 16, 2021 Emelec 1-0 Orense SC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
46%
Momentum
72%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Orense SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.