Back Stats
Primera C · Jul 12, 2026 17:00

Juventud Unida PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Lugano PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.74x
Over 2.5 66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Juventud Unida LWWLD
STABLE
Lugano DWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.04
Juventud Unida
vs
0.98
Lugano
Goal Probability
Juventud Un…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Lugano
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 90% 10% OVER
1.5 68% 32% OVER
2.5 42% 59% -
3.5 21% 79% UNDER
4.5 9% 91% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#10
Juventud Un…
-2
Gap
#8
Lugano
WR 22% 21 pts WR 30% 25 pts
Juventud Unida 10.0%
Jul 05 Juventu… v Sacachi… 1-0
Jun 27 Juventu… v Argenti… 3-0
Jun 14 Juventu… v Estrell… 2-0
Jun 08 Juventu… v Berazat… 2-1
May 31 Juventu… v Victori… 1-1
May 23 Juventu… v Centro … 2-3
May 16 Juventu… v El Porv… 0-1
May 09 Juventu… v JJ Urqu… 0-1
May 03 Juventu… v Mercedes 1-1
Apr 25 Juventu… v Deporti… 2-3
Lugano 12.0%
Jul 04 Lugano v JJ Urqu… 0-0
Jun 27 Lugano v Sacachi… 0-1
Jun 14 Lugano v Mercedes 1-0
Jun 06 Lugano v Argenti… 2-1
May 30 Lugano v Deporti… 0-0
May 23 Lugano v Estrell… 3-2
May 16 Lugano v Leones … 2-2
May 10 Lugano v Puerto … 3-0
May 03 Lugano v Berazat… 2-0
Apr 25 Lugano v Leandro… 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 14, 2026 Lugano 0-0 Juventud Unida
Nov 20, 2024 Lugano 2-0 Juventud Unida
Jun 19, 2024 Juventud Unida 0-0 Lugano
Sep 25, 2023 Juventud Unida 0-2 Lugano
Jun 19, 2023 Lugano 2-0 Juventud Unida
May 23, 2023 Lugano 2-1 Juventud Unida
Aug 20, 2022 Lugano 2-1 Juventud Unida
Jun 05, 2022 Juventud Unida 1-3 Lugano
Oct 05, 2021 Lugano 0-0 Juventud Unida
Jun 16, 2021 Juventud Unida 0-1 Lugano
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.