Primera Nacional · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
Deportivo MorĂłn PWR 35
Deportivo Madryn PWR 35
Deportivo MorĂłn PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Deportivo Madryn PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Deportivo MorĂłn to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
76%
Tier
MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.09x
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo MorĂłn
LLWWW
DOWN
Deportivo Madr…
LWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Deportivo MorĂłnvs
0.20
Deportivo Madr…Goal Probability
Deportivo M…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Deportivo M…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Deportivo M…+5
Gap#7
Deportivo M…
WR 78% 34 pts
WR 33% 28 pts
Deportivo MorĂłn
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Deporti… v Defenso… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Deporti… v Ferro C… | 1-0 |
| Jun 13 | Deporti… v Ciudad … | 1-2 |
| Jun 07 | Deporti… v Almiran… | 1-0 |
| May 31 | Deporti… v Atletic… | 1-3 |
| May 23 | Deporti… v CA Estu… | 2-0 |
| May 19 | Deporti… v All Boys | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Deporti… v Los And… | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Deporti… v Godoy C… | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Deporti… v Racing … | 0-0 |
Deportivo Madr…
10.0%
| Jul 05 | Deporti… v Colon S… | 1-2 |
| Jun 21 | Deporti… v Los And… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Deporti… v San Mig… | 2-2 |
| Jun 07 | Deporti… v San Tel… | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Deporti… v Acassuso | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Deporti… v Chaco F… | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Deporti… v Ferro C… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Deporti… v Central… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | Deporti… v Racing … | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Deporti… v Defenso… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Deportivo Mad… | 1-1 | Deportivo Mor… |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Deportivo Mad… | 1-0 | Deportivo Mor… |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Deportivo Mor… | 1-0 | Deportivo Mad… |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Deportivo Mad… | 0-0 | Deportivo Mor… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Deportivo Mor… | 0-0 | Deportivo Mad… |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Deportivo Mad… | 0-1 | Deportivo Mor… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
70%
Market
55%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo MorĂłn in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.