Primera Nacional · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
San Miguel FC PWR 35
Ferro Carril Oeste PWR 35
San Miguel FC PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Ferro Carril Oeste PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Ferro Carril Oeste to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.56x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.56x
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
San Miguel FC
DWDDD
STABLE
Ferro Carril O…
WWWWD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
San Miguel FCvs
1.07
Ferro Carril O…Goal Probability
San Miguel …
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Ferro Carri…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
San Miguel …-9
Gap#1
Ferro Carri…
WR 44% 25 pts
WR 60% 37 pts
San Miguel FC
12.0%
| Jul 05 | San Mig… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Jun 20 | San Mig… v Acassuso | 0-2 |
| Jun 14 | San Mig… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Jun 06 | San Mig… v Defenso… | 0-0 |
| May 31 | San Mig… v Ciudad … | 1-1 |
| May 23 | San Mig… v Almiran… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | San Mig… v Atletic… | 4-0 |
| May 09 | San Mig… v CA Estu… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | San Mig… v All Boys | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | San Mig… v Los And… | 0-2 |
Ferro Carril O…
18.0%
| Jul 05 | Ferro C… v San Tel… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Ferro C… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | Ferro C… v Acassuso | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Ferro C… v Chaco F… | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Ferro C… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Ferro C… v Central… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Ferro C… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| May 12 | Ferro C… v Defenso… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Ferro C… v Ciudad … | 2-4 |
| Apr 29 | Ferro C… v Almiran… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ferro Carril … | 1-1 | San Miguel FC |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ferro Carril … | 0-1 | San Miguel FC |
| May 10, 2025 | San Miguel FC | 2-0 | Ferro Carril … |
| Oct 12, 2024 | San Miguel FC | 0-0 | Ferro Carril … |
| May 26, 2024 | Ferro Carril … | 1-0 | San Miguel FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
32%
Market
38%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ferro Carril Oeste in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.