Primera Nacional · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
Atletico de Rafae… PWR 35
Deportivo MaipĂş PWR 35
Atletico de Rafae… PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Deportivo MaipĂş PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.77x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico de Ra…
LDDWL
STABLE
Deportivo MaipĂş
WDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Atletico de Ra…vs
0.20
Deportivo MaipĂşGoal Probability
Atletico de…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Deportivo M…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Atletico de…-2
Gap#5
Deportivo M…
WR 60% 27 pts
WR 20% 28 pts
Atletico de Ra…
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Atletic… v Almagro | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Atletic… v Nueva C… | 0-0 |
| Jun 14 | Atletic… v Patrona… | 0-0 |
| Jun 06 | Atletic… v Colegia… | 1-0 |
| May 31 | Atletic… v Quilmes | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Atletic… v Midland | 1-0 |
| May 16 | Atletic… v Atlanta | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Atletic… v Gimnasi… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Atletic… v San Mar… | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Atletic… v Gimnasi… | 0-0 |
Deportivo MaipĂş
10.0%
| Jul 05 | Deporti… v Agropec… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Deporti… v Gimnasi… | 0-0 |
| Jun 14 | Deporti… v Tristan… | 0-1 |
| Jun 07 | Deporti… v Club At… | 1-0 |
| May 31 | Deporti… v Chacari… | 3-2 |
| May 23 | Deporti… v San Mar… | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Deporti… v Nueva C… | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Deporti… v Temperl… | 0-5 |
| May 03 | Deporti… v Gimnasi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Deporti… v Almagro | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Deportivo Mai… | 2-1 | Atletico de R… |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Atletico de R… | 2-0 | Deportivo Mai… |
| May 07, 2023 | Deportivo Mai… | 1-1 | Atletico de R… |
| May 02, 2022 | Deportivo Mai… | 0-0 | Atletico de R… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
46%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.