Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 11, 2026 19:10

Mushuc Runa PWR 37
1 - 4
FT

Independiente del… PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Independiente del Valle Win
Score
2-4
Confidence
55%
Tier Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
CORRECT 1-4
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.13x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.36x
Over 2.5 64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5 62%
62%
Team Comparison
6Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.00.0
Mushuc Runa WWDDL
STABLE
Independiente … LWWWL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Mushuc Runa Independien…
#PlayerPosApp
77 Kevin Velasco Mid 7.0 0 0 0 3
12 Franklin Carabali Def 6.94 0 0 1 3
30 Renato Ibarra Mid 6.92 0 0 0 3
18 Jackson González Mid 6.9 0 0 0 3
33 José Hernández Def 6.88 0 0 0 2
44 Manuel Gamboa Def 6.88 0 0 0 2
81 Facundo Castelli For 6.73 0 0 0 2
32 Carlos Orejuela Mid 6.7 0 0 0 3
6 Brian Negro Def 6.67 0 0 0 3
23 Lucas Lemos Mid 6.62 0 0 0 2
99 Cristopher Angulo Mid 6.49 0 0 0 2
25 Rodrigo Formento Goa 6.45 0 0 0 3
26 Kevin Peralta Def 6.43 0 0 0 3
5 Nicolás Dávila Mid 6.25 0 0 0 2
7 Tomson Minda Mid 6.25 0 0 0 3
2 José Flor Def 6.25 0 0 1 3
8 Arnaldo Zambrano Mid 6.16 0 0 0 3
11 Nicolás Dibble For - 0 0 0 2
19 Jamilton Carcelen Mid - 0 0 0 2
50 Jeremy Cusme Def - 0 0 0 2
Stability Protocol
Standard Pick · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Mushuc Runa
vs
1.69
Independiente …
Goal Probability
Mushuc Runa
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Independien…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-3 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-4 (6%)0-4 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 93% 7% OVER
2.5 80% 20% OVER
3.5 62% 38% -
4.5 43% 57% -
5.5 26% 74% UNDER
6.5 14% 86% UNDER
League Position
#11
Mushuc Runa
-10
Gap
#1
Independien…
WR 40% 21 pts WR 89% 43 pts
Mushuc Runa 12.0%
Jul 06 Mushuc … v Univers… 2-3
Jun 03 Mushuc … v Gualace… 1-0
May 31 Mushuc … v Aucas 0-0
May 23 Mushuc … v Guayaqu… 2-2
May 17 Mushuc … v Leones … 3-1
May 12 Mushuc … v LDU Qui… 1-3
May 03 Mushuc … v Delfín … 1-0
Apr 25 Mushuc … v Deporti… 4-1
Apr 22 Mushuc … v Barcelo… 2-1
Apr 18 Mushuc … v Tecnico… 1-0
Independiente … 12.0%
Jul 08 Indepen… v Santo D… 0-2
Jul 04 Indepen… v Manta 4-0
May 31 Indepen… v Guayaqu… 2-4
May 28 Indepen… v Rosario… 1-0
May 23 Indepen… v Liberta… 2-3
May 20 Indepen… v Liberta… 4-1
May 16 Indepen… v Macará 0-3
May 14 Indepen… v Univers… 0-3
May 10 Indepen… v Barcelo… 1-0
May 06 Indepen… v UCV 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 07, 2026 Independiente… 3-1 Mushuc Runa
Sep 20, 2025 Mushuc Runa 2-2 Independiente…
Aug 20, 2025 Mushuc Runa 2-1 Independiente…
Aug 13, 2025 Independiente… 1-0 Mushuc Runa
May 23, 2025 Independiente… 2-1 Mushuc Runa
Oct 05, 2024 Mushuc Runa 1-1 Independiente…
Apr 18, 2024 Independiente… 2-1 Mushuc Runa
Aug 06, 2023 Mushuc Runa 1-0 Independiente…
Feb 25, 2023 Independiente… 3-1 Mushuc Runa
Nov 01, 2022 Independiente… 1-1 Mushuc Runa
Decision Breakdown
Player
50%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Independiente del Valle in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.