Back Stats
Liga Pro · Jul 12, 2026 19:15

Deportivo Cuenca PWR 45
1-0
predicted

Aucas PWR 37
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Deportivo Cuenca to win (93% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
93%
Tier Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (18%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5 76%
76%
BTTS No
No 18%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
30Attack5
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
5.21.5
Deportivo Cuen… LDWLD
STABLE
Aucas WDWLL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Deportivo C… Aucas
#PlayerPosApp
30 Mateo Maccari Mid 7.03 0 0 2 7
1 Facundo Ferrero Goa 7.01 0 0 0 7
37 Carlos Arboleda Mid 6.97 0 0 0 7
29 MatĂ­as Klimowicz For 6.95 1 0 0 7
7 Lucas Mancinelli Mid 6.92 0 0 0 4
28 Patricio Boolsen Def 6.91 0 0 1 6
49 David González Mid 6.82 0 1 1 7
43 Jorge Ordóñez Mid 6.81 1 0 0 6
16 Jeremy Mejia Mid 6.74 0 0 0 7
20 Bryan GarcĂ­a Mid 6.69 0 0 0 7
6 Santiago Postel Def 6.64 0 0 0 6
2 Ignacio Mosquera Mid 6.52 0 0 0 7
18 Mateo Piedra Mid 6.49 0 0 1 5
19 Melvin Diaz Mid 6.37 0 0 0 7
21 Stalin Morocho Mid 6.34 0 0 0 7
53 Yeltzin Erique Def 6.34 0 0 0 7
8 Edison Vega Mid 6.33 0 0 0 7
9 Nicolás Leguizamón For 6.3 0 0 0 6
11 Germán Rivero For 6.3 0 0 0 6
14 Jeremy Chacon Mid 6.27 0 0 0 6
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 88% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Deportivo Cuen…
vs
0.27
Aucas
Goal Probability
Deportivo C…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Aucas
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 76% 24% OVER
1.5 42% 58% -
2.5 18% 82% UNDER
3.5 6% 94% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Deportivo C…
-2
Gap
#3
Aucas
WR 38% 27 pts WR 25% 29 pts
Deportivo Cuen… 8.0%
Jul 05 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-0
Jun 02 Deporti… v La Unión 0-0
May 31 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
May 27 Deporti… v Santos 3-0
May 24 Deporti… v LDU Qui… 1-1
May 20 Deporti… v Deporti… 2-2
May 16 Deporti… v Liberta… 0-1
May 09 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-1
May 06 Deporti… v San Lor… 0-0
May 02 Deporti… v Tecnico… 2-1
Aucas 10.0%
Jul 08 Aucas v Guayaqu… 1-0
May 31 Aucas v Mushuc … 0-0
May 26 Aucas v Manta 3-1
May 21 Aucas v San Ant… 0-3
May 17 Aucas v Barcelo… 3-0
May 09 Aucas v Univers… 2-1
May 02 Aucas v Liberta… 3-2
Apr 28 Aucas v Delfín … 1-0
Apr 23 Aucas v LDU Qui… 0-0
Apr 17 Aucas v Leones … 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 08, 2026 Aucas 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Nov 30, 2025 Aucas 2-1 Deportivo Cue…
Oct 26, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 1-2 Aucas
Sep 11, 2025 Aucas 1-1 Deportivo Cue…
Jun 22, 2025 Aucas 1-3 Deportivo Cue…
Feb 22, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 2-0 Aucas
Sep 29, 2024 Aucas 1-4 Deportivo Cue…
Apr 13, 2024 Deportivo Cue… 3-3 Aucas
Nov 04, 2023 Deportivo Cue… 0-0 Aucas
May 28, 2023 Aucas 0-2 Deportivo Cue…
Decision Breakdown
MOM75+P55 (77.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
59%
Momentum
82%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.