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Feminine Division 1

Lens Women vs Lyon Women

Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 1–7 · 1 won · 0 lost
Ly
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 91.4%
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=22)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 72.7% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.8%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 8/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
91.4%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (91.4%)
@ 07 Nov 17:58
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
1.9%
Draw
8.6%
Away win
89.5%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:58
scoring fit λ 0.48 / μ 3.36
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 139 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
89.5%
1.12x 64.0% n=139 solid won
Draw
8.6%
11.64x 64.0% n=139 risky lost
Home win
1.9%
51.71x 64.0% n=139 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Lens Women 0W / 0D / 3L · momentum Lens Women 0.5 ppg vs Lyon Women 3.0 ppg
Lens Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1 1-7 L
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1 1-1 D
24 Oct · Feminine Division 1 0-0 D
17 Oct · Feminine Division 1 1-3 L
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1 4-1 L
19 Sep · Feminine Division 1 2-2 D
Lyon Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1 1-7 W
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1 2-5 W
28 Oct · UEFA Champions League… 6-0 W
24 Oct · Feminine Division 1 5-0 W
18 Oct · Feminine Division 1 0-4 W
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1 5-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Feminine Division 1 Lens Women 1-7 Lyon Women
14 Jan 26 · Feminine Division 1 Lyon Women 1-0 Lens Women
03 Oct 25 · Feminine Division 1 Lens Women 1-8 Lyon Women
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 89.3% WON SURESHOT win chance 98.1% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.1% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.1% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.1% VOID SURESHOT win chance 98.1% VOID