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Feminine Division 1
Paris Saint-Germain Women vs Le Havre Women
Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 4–0 · 1 won · 0 lostLe
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 86.5%
book 1.19x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=22)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.19x
league track
ok · 72.7% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.8%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 13/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (86.5%)
@ 07 Nov 17:58 · 1.19x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
82.5%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
4.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:58
scoring fit λ 2.60 / μ 0.46
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 139 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
4.0%
|
25.28x | 64.0% n=139 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
13.6%
|
7.38x | 64.0% n=139 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
82.5%
|
1.21x | 64.0% n=139 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Paris Saint-G… 8W / 3D / 0L
· momentum Paris Saint… 1.83 ppg vs Le Havre Wo… 1.0 ppg
Paris Saint-Germain Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1
4-0
W
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1
1-1
D
29 Oct · UEFA Champions League…
1-1
D
23 Oct · Feminine Division 1
1-0
W
18 Oct · Feminine Division 1
0-4
L
04 Oct · Feminine Division 1
1-3
W
Le Havre Women · last 6
07 Nov · Feminine Division 1
4-0
L
31 Oct · Feminine Division 1
0-0
D
24 Oct · Feminine Division 1
0-0
D
17 Oct · Feminine Division 1
1-1
D
03 Oct · Feminine Division 1
2-0
W
18 Sep · Feminine Division 1
1-8
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Feminine Division 1
Paris Saint-Ger… 4-0 Le Havre Women
18 Jan 26 · Feminine Division 1
Le Havre Women 0-4 Paris Saint-Ger…
01 Nov 25 · Feminine Division 1
Paris Saint-Ger… 2-0 Le Havre Women
23 Apr 25 · Feminine Division 1
Le Havre Women 2-2 Paris Saint-Ger…
04 Oct 24 · Feminine Division 1
Paris Saint-Ger… 3-0 Le Havre Women
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