HOME
Premiership

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC

Fri 13 Nov 21:45 1 day, 21 hours
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 77.0%
book 1.30x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league OK (56.5%, n=23)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
• priced 1.30x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
ok · 56.5% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 36.8%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 22/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 77.3% (n=950)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
77.0%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (77.0%)
@ 11 Nov 23:57 · 1.30x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
20.5%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
56.4%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:57
scoring fit λ 1.10 / μ 1.94
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 239 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
56.4%
1.77x 53.6% n=239 lean
Draw
23.0%
4.34x 53.6% n=239 risky
Home win
20.5%
4.87x 53.6% n=239 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Limavady Unit… 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum Limavady Un… 0.83 ppg vs Cliftonvill… 2.0 ppg
Limavady United · last 6
07 Nov · Premiership 3-2 L
31 Oct · Premiership 1-4 L
27 Oct · Premiership 1-1 D
24 Oct · Premiership 1-1 D
20 Oct · League Cup 3-4 W
17 Oct · Premiership 1-0 L
Cliftonville FC · last 6
06 Nov · Premiership 4-2 W
31 Oct · Premiership 7-1 W
24 Oct · Premiership 1-3 W
20 Oct · League Cup 0-2 W
17 Oct · Premiership 1-2 L
10 Oct · Premiership 1-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
26 Sep 26 · Premiership Limavady United 1-0 Cliftonville FC