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Primera División Femenina

Granadilla Tenerife Women vs Deportivo Alavés

Sun 08 Nov 14:00 0 minutes
De
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 80.3%
book 1.29x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (74.2%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.29x
league track
proven · 74.2% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.8%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 11/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home, draw refunds solid (75.0%)
@ 08 Nov 10:39 · 1.43x
board also had Home or Draw 80.3%
Home or Draw solid (80.3%)
@ 08 Nov 10:39 · 1.29x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
59.1%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
19.7%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:39
scoring fit λ 1.70 / μ 0.84
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 240 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
19.7%
5.08x 63.7% n=240 risky
Draw
21.2%
4.71x 63.7% n=240 risky
top Home win
59.1%
1.69x 63.7% n=240 lean
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Granadilla … 2.0 ppg vs Deportivo A… 0.33 ppg
Granadilla Tenerife Women · last 6
01 Nov · Primera División Feme… 2-0 W
25 Oct · Primera División Feme… 3-2 L
17 Oct · Primera División Feme… 0-4 W
04 Oct · Primera División Feme… 2-1 W
27 Sep · Primera División Feme… 1-2 W
20 Sep · Primera División Feme… 1-3 L
Deportivo Alavés · last 6
01 Nov · Primera División Feme… 1-1 D
25 Oct · Primera División Feme… 2-1 L
18 Oct · Primera División Feme… 1-1 D
03 Oct · Primera División Feme… 1-0 L
26 Sep · Primera División Feme… 1-0 L
18 Sep · Primera División Feme… 0-6 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match