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Primera División Femenina
Deportivo de La Coruña Women vs Valencia Women
Sun 08 Nov 18:00 0 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 84.6%
book 1.30x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (74.2%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.30x
league track
proven · 74.2% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.8%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 11/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.6%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (84.6%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26 · 1.30x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
64.6%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
15.4%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 2.08 / μ 0.90
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 240 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
15.4%
|
6.47x | 63.7% n=240 | risky |
| Draw |
20.0%
|
5.01x | 63.7% n=240 | risky |
| top Home win |
64.6%
|
1.55x | 63.7% n=240 | lean |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Deportivo d… 1.67 ppg vs Valencia Wo… 0.5 ppg
Deportivo de La Coruña Women · last 6
01 Nov · Primera División Feme…
2-1
L
25 Oct · Primera División Feme…
2-1
W
18 Oct · Primera División Feme…
2-3
W
03 Oct · Primera División Feme…
1-2
L
27 Sep · Primera División Feme…
1-1
D
20 Sep · Primera División Feme…
0-3
W
Valencia Women · last 6
01 Nov · Primera División Feme…
2-1
W
25 Oct · Primera División Feme…
4-0
L
17 Oct · Primera División Feme…
1-0
L
04 Oct · Primera División Feme…
0-1
L
27 Sep · Primera División Feme…
1-2
L
19 Sep · Primera División Feme…
3-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.