Ro
HOME
Damallsvenskan
Rosengård Women vs Hammarby
Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 3 won · 0 lostHa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 88.1%
book 1.25x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=27)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.25x
league track
ok · 66.7% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.8%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 21/27 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.1% (n=87)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.1%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Under 3.5 goals
lean (64.1%)
@ 07 Nov 11:02 · 1.60x
board also had Draw or Away 88.1%
pick won
Either team wins
solid (81.2%)
@ 07 Nov 11:02 · 1.30x
board also had Draw or Away 88.1%
pick won
Draw or Away
solid (88.1%)
@ 07 Nov 11:02 · 1.25x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
11.9%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
69.3%
calibrated 07 Nov 11:02
scoring fit λ 0.74 / μ 2.11
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 09 Nov · 308 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
69.4%
|
1.44x | 58.4% n=308 | lean | won |
| Draw |
18.8%
|
5.33x | 58.4% n=308 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
11.9%
|
8.41x | 58.4% n=308 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Rosengård Wom… 2W / 2D / 8L
· momentum Rosengård W… 1.17 ppg vs Hammarby 2.5 ppg
Rosengård Women · last 6
07 Nov · Damallsvenskan
0-2
L
31 Oct · Damallsvenskan
1-1
D
24 Oct · Damallsvenskan
2-0
L
17 Oct · Damallsvenskan
2-0
W
04 Oct · Damallsvenskan
1-0
L
27 Sep · Damallsvenskan
1-0
W
Hammarby · last 6
07 Nov · Damallsvenskan
0-2
W
01 Nov · Damallsvenskan
0-7
W
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
1-3
W
24 Oct · Damallsvenskan
3-0
W
18 Oct · Damallsvenskan
3-0
L
04 Oct · Damallsvenskan
2-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Damallsvenskan
Rosengård Women 0-2 Hammarby
29 Mar 26 · Damallsvenskan
Hammarby 3-1 Rosengård Women
23 Feb 26 · Svenska Cupen - Women
Rosengård Women 0-4 Hammarby
12 Aug 25 · Damallsvenskan
Rosengård Women 2-2 Hammarby
01 May 25 · Svenska Cupen - Women
Hammarby 5-0 Rosengård Women