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Girabola

Petro de Luanda vs 1º de Maio

Sun 08 Nov 18:10 0 minutes final 1–0 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 94.4%
why
• league PROVEN (75.8%, n=33)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 75.8% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.0%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 17/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.7% (n=162)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
94.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
70.4%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
5.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 2.00 / μ 0.50
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 261 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
5.6%
17.89x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
Draw
24.0%
4.17x 49.0% n=261 risky lost
top Home win
70.4%
1.42x 49.0% n=261 solid won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Petro de Luan… 2W / 1D / 0L · momentum Petro de Lu… 1.83 ppg vs 1º de Maio 0.83 ppg
Petro de Luanda · last 6
12 Dec · Girabola 4-0 W
08 Nov · Girabola 1-0 W
31 Oct · Girabola 1-1 D
27 Oct · Girabola 1-1 D
23 Oct · CAF Champions League 3-0 W
18 Oct · CAF Champions League 2-0 L
1º de Maio · last 6
08 Nov · Girabola 1-0 L
01 Nov · Girabola 2-1 W
24 Oct · Girabola 3-0 L
18 Oct · Pernambucano - 1 0-0 D
18 Oct · Girabola 2-1 L
11 Oct · Girabola 2-2 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Girabola Petro de Luanda 1-0 1º de Maio
16 May 26 · Girabola Petro de Luanda 0-0 1º de Maio
04 Feb 26 · Girabola 1º de Maio 2-3 Petro de Luanda