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Division 2

Al-Batin vs Baish

Fri 13 Nov 14:05 1 day, 13 hours
Ba
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 94.3%
why
• league PROVEN (72.3%, n=65)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 72.3% of 65 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.4%)
draws 30.0% of matches
team history 4/5 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4539)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3052)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.3%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
34.5%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
41.0%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:59
scoring fit λ 1.47 / μ 1.62
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 09 Nov · 207 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
41.0%
2.44x 44.0% n=207 risky
Draw
24.5%
4.08x 44.0% n=207 risky
Home win
34.5%
2.9x 44.0% n=207 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Al-Batin 0.83 ppg vs Baish 2.0 ppg
Al-Batin · last 6
07 Nov · Division 2 0-2 L
02 Nov · Division 2 1-1 D
27 Oct · Division 2 3-0 L
16 Oct · Division 2 1-1 D
14 May · First Division League… 4-0 L
09 May · First Division League… 4-1 W
Baish · last 6
07 Nov · Division 2 0-1 L
03 Nov · Division 2 2-2 D
28 Oct · Division 2 2-1 W
23 Oct · Division 2 2-1 W
16 Oct · Division 2 2-3 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.