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Regionalliga - South
SV Lafnitz vs Allerheiligen
Fri 06 Nov 20:00 0 minutes final 5–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.3%
why
• league PROVEN (79.2%, n=24)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
league track
proven · 79.2% of 24 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.5%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 16/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.0% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (85.3%)
@ 06 Nov 18:10
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
67.2%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
14.7%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:10
scoring fit λ 2.92 / μ 1.41
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · None matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
14.7%
|
6.79x | – | risky | lost |
| Draw |
18.0%
|
5.55x | – | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
67.2%
|
1.49x | – | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — SV Lafnitz 2W / 0D / 0L
· momentum SV Lafnitz 1.67 ppg vs Allerheilig… 0.5 ppg
SV Lafnitz · last 6
06 Nov · Regionalliga - South
5-2
W
30 Oct · Regionalliga - South
2-2
D
21 Oct · Regionalliga - South
1-1
D
16 Oct · Regionalliga - South
4-2
W
09 Oct · Regionalliga - South
2-2
D
02 Oct · Regionalliga - South
3-3
D
Allerheiligen · last 6
06 Nov · Regionalliga - South
5-2
L
30 Oct · Regionalliga - South
0-2
L
23 Oct · Regionalliga - South
3-1
L
16 Oct · Regionalliga - South
3-4
L
09 Oct · Regionalliga - South
1-0
L
02 Oct · Regionalliga - South
3-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Regionalliga - South
SV Lafnitz 5-2 Allerheiligen
18 Sep 26 · Regionalliga - South
Allerheiligen 1-3 SV Lafnitz