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2nd Division - Group 1

HIK vs B 93

Fri 13 Nov 20:00 1 day, 19 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 94.4%
why
• league OK (72.4%, n=29)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 72.4% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 54.3%)
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 22/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4539)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.4%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
25.3%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
42.5%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:58
scoring fit λ 1.50 / μ 1.92
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 314 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
42.5%
2.35x 43.9% n=314 risky
Draw
32.2%
3.11x 43.9% n=314 risky
Home win
25.3%
3.96x 43.9% n=314 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — HIK 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum HIK 1.17 ppg vs B 93 2.0 ppg
HIK · last 6
06 Nov · 2nd Division - Group 1 2-1 L
30 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 1-4 L
23 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 0-2 W
17 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 0-1 W
10 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 1-1 D
03 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 2-0 L
B 93 · last 6
06 Nov · 2nd Division - Group 1 1-0 W
01 Nov · 2nd Division - Group 1 1-3 W
24 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 2-3 L
16 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 2-1 L
10 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 3-1 W
02 Oct · 2nd Division - Group 1 0-3 W
Head-to-head last 5
21 Aug 26 · 2nd Division - Group 1 B 93 3-0 HIK