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Liga Profesional Argentina

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanús

Sun 08 Nov 23:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 95.0%
why
• league PROVEN (83.1%, n=59)
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
proven · 83.1% of 59 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 71.5%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 16/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
95.0%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
18.3%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
54.8%
calibrated 09 Nov 00:18
scoring fit λ 0.82 / μ 1.60
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 525 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
54.8%
1.83x 45.0% n=525 risky lost
Draw
27.0%
3.71x 45.0% n=525 risky won
Home win
18.3%
5.47x 45.0% n=525 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Central Cordo… 2W / 7D / 2L · momentum Central Cor… 0.5 ppg vs Lanús 1.67 ppg
Central Cordoba de Santiago · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Profesional Arge… 1-1 D
01 Nov · Liga Profesional Arge… 2-0 L
25 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 0-5 L
18 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 2-1 L
10 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 2-2 D
05 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 1-1 D
Lanús · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Profesional Arge… 1-1 D
01 Nov · Liga Profesional Arge… 1-1 D
25 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 1-1 D
18 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 0-1 W
12 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 2-0 W
03 Oct · Liga Profesional Arge… 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Liga Profesional Arge… Central Cordoba… 1-1 Lanús
25 Apr 26 · Liga Profesional Arge… Lanús 0-0 Central Cordoba…
22 Aug 25 · CONMEBOL Sudamericana Lanús 1-0 Central Cordoba…
15 Aug 25 · CONMEBOL Sudamericana Central Cordoba… 1-0 Lanús
17 Aug 24 · Liga Profesional Arge… Lanús 1-1 Central Cordoba…