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Premijer Liga

Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo

Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 88.0%
why
• league PROVEN (86.7%, n=15)
• type ledger 80% (n=1986)
league track
proven · 86.7% of 15 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.1%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 23/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1986, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.0% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
58.7%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
12.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:00
scoring fit λ 1.74 / μ 0.72
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 175 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
12.0%
8.36x 55.4% n=175 risky lost
Draw
29.3%
3.41x 55.4% n=175 risky won
top Home win
58.7%
1.7x 55.4% n=175 lean lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 15 meetings — Zrinjski 5W / 6D / 4L · momentum Zrinjski 2.67 ppg vs FK Sarajevo 1.17 ppg
Zrinjski · last 6
07 Nov · Premijer Liga 0-0 D
31 Oct · Premijer Liga 0-4 W
28 Oct · Cup 1-3 W
24 Oct · Premijer Liga 1-0 W
17 Oct · Premijer Liga 0-3 W
11 Oct · Premijer Liga 2-6 W
FK Sarajevo · last 6
07 Nov · Premijer Liga 0-0 D
31 Oct · Premijer Liga 1-0 L
28 Oct · Cup 1-1 D
24 Oct · Premijer Liga 2-0 W
17 Oct · Premijer Liga 1-1 D
11 Oct · Premijer Liga 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Premijer Liga Zrinjski 0-0 FK Sarajevo
29 Aug 26 · Premijer Liga FK Sarajevo 0-1 Zrinjski
11 Apr 26 · Premijer Liga FK Sarajevo 2-1 Zrinjski
18 Mar 26 · Super Cup Zrinjski 0-0 FK Sarajevo
14 Dec 25 · Premijer Liga Zrinjski 0-1 FK Sarajevo
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 75.4% LOST VALUE win chance 75.3% VOID VALUE win chance 75.3% VOID VALUE win chance 75.3% VOID VALUE win chance 80.0% VOID VALUE win chance 75.8% VOID