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Professional Development League

Colchester United U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21

Tomorrow 16:00 1 day, 11 hours
Ch
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 81.5%
why
• league OK (63.6%, n=33)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
league track
ok · 63.6% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 46.6%)
draws 20.0% of matches
team history 8/13 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
81.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (81.5%)
@ 09 Nov 02:52
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
29.7%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
51.8%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:52
scoring fit λ 1.79 / μ 2.38
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 269 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
51.8%
1.93x 46.1% n=269 risky
Draw
18.5%
5.41x 46.1% n=269 risky
Home win
29.7%
3.36x 46.1% n=269 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 8 meetings — Colchester Un… 2W / 5D / 1L · momentum Colchester … 1.0 ppg vs Charlton At… 1.17 ppg
Colchester United U21 · last 6
27 Oct · Professional Developm… 5-1 W
06 Oct · Professional Developm… 1-2 L
29 Sep · Professional Developm… 1-0 L
25 Sep · Professional Developm… 2-1 W
15 Sep · Professional Developm… 6-4 L
01 Sep · Professional Developm… 3-4 L
Charlton Athletic U21 · last 6
03 Nov · Premier League Cup 6-2 W
26 Oct · Professional Developm… 3-2 L
23 Oct · Professional Developm… 3-4 L
09 Oct · Premier League Cup 2-2 D
06 Oct · Professional Developm… 4-1 L
29 Sep · Professional Developm… 1-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
17 Apr 26 · Professional Developm… Charlton Athlet… 2-2 Colchester Unit…
10 Oct 25 · Professional Developm… Colchester Unit… 2-2 Charlton Athlet…
21 Feb 25 · Professional Developm… Charlton Athlet… 8-1 Colchester Unit…
01 Nov 24 · Professional Developm… Colchester Unit… 2-2 Charlton Athlet…
03 May 24 · Professional Developm… Colchester Unit… 4-2 Charlton Athlet…