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Professional Development League

Coventry City U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21

Today 15:00 11 hours, 36 minutes
Qu
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 75.7%
book 1.36x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league OK (63.6%, n=33)
• type ledger 80% (n=1977)
• priced 1.36x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
ok · 63.6% of 33 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 46.6%)
draws 20.0% of matches
team history 14/15 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1977, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.6% (n=574)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3022)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
75.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (75.7%)
@ 09 Nov 02:52 · 1.36x
board also had Either team wins 82.2%
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
58.0%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
24.3%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:52
scoring fit λ 2.34 / μ 1.47
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 269 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
24.3%
4.12x 46.1% n=269 risky
Draw
17.7%
5.63x 46.1% n=269 risky
top Home win
58.0%
1.72x 46.1% n=269 lean
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Coventry City… 3W / 1D / 1L · momentum Coventry Ci… 2.67 ppg vs Queens Park… 1.17 ppg
Coventry City U21 · last 6
02 Nov · Premier League Cup 1-0 W
27 Oct · Professional Developm… 2-2 D
20 Oct · Professional Developm… 2-0 W
13 Oct · Premier League Cup 1-2 W
06 Oct · Professional Developm… 1-5 W
29 Sep · Professional Developm… 1-0 W
Queens Park Rangers U21 · last 6
02 Nov · Premier League Cup 0-4 W
27 Oct · Professional Developm… 5-1 L
18 Oct · Professional Developm… 3-1 W
13 Oct · Professional Developm… 1-1 D
09 Oct · Premier League Cup 5-1 L
06 Oct · Professional Developm… 1-5 L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Oct 26 · Professional Developm… Queens Park Ran… 1-5 Coventry City U…
12 Aug 25 · Professional Developm… Queens Park Ran… 3-4 Coventry City U…
13 Aug 24 · Professional Developm… Queens Park Ran… 0-6 Coventry City U…
21 Aug 23 · Professional Developm… Queens Park Ran… 4-2 Coventry City U…
03 Apr 23 · Professional Developm… Queens Park Ran… 1-1 Coventry City U…