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Premier League International Cup
West Ham United U21 vs Juventus U21
Wed 11 Nov 21:00 2 days, 17 hoursJu
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 87.1%
why
• league PROVEN (84.6%, n=13)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
proven · 84.6% of 13 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.8%)
draws 10.0% of matches
team history 17/2 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.1%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (87.1%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
12.9%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 2.14 / μ 0.87
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
12.9%
|
7.75x | – | risky |
| Draw |
21.9%
|
4.57x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
65.2%
|
1.53x | – | lean |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum West Ham Un… 0.67 ppg vs Juventus U21 0.67 ppg
West Ham United U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi…
2-2
D
03 Nov · National League Cup
2-0
L
30 Oct · Premier League Cup
1-2
L
23 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
3-1
W
20 Oct · Premier League Intern…
1-5
L
16 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
4-2
L
Juventus U21 · last 6
20 Oct · Premier League Intern…
1-1
D
30 Sep · Premier League Intern…
1-0
L
15 Nov · Premier League Intern…
3-0
L
12 Nov · Premier League Intern…
3-1
L
08 Oct · Premier League Intern…
4-2
L
10 Sep · Premier League Intern…
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.