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Premier League Cup
West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Bromley U21
Today 21:00 16 hours, 16 minutesBr
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 81.5%
book 1.29x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (72.2%, n=36)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.29x
league track
proven · 72.2% of 36 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.0%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 12/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
81.5%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (81.5%)
@ 09 Nov 02:52 · 1.29x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
64.0%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
18.4%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:52
scoring fit λ 2.45 / μ 1.26
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 137 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
18.4%
|
5.42x | 46.0% n=137 | risky |
| Draw |
17.6%
|
5.69x | 46.0% n=137 | risky |
| top Home win |
64.0%
|
1.56x | 46.0% n=137 | lean |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — West Bromwich… 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum West Bromwi… 0.17 ppg vs Bromley U21 1.0 ppg
West Bromwich Albion U21 · last 6
03 Nov · National League Cup
1-0
L
26 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
4-2
L
19 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
2-1
L
13 Oct · National League Cup
3-2
L
09 Oct · Premier League Cup
2-2
D
18 Sep · Premier League 2 Divi…
1-3
L
Bromley U21 · last 6
13 Oct · Premier League Cup
1-2
L
15 Sep · Premier League Cup
2-4
L
26 Aug · Premier League Cup
3-0
W
19 Dec · Premier League Cup
0-1
W
15 Dec · Premier League Cup
2-3
L
01 Dec · Premier League Cup
4-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
26 Aug 26 · Premier League Cup
Bromley U21 3-0 West Bromwich A…
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