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Premier League International Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Paris Saint-Germain U21
Tomorrow 21:00 1 day, 14 hoursPa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 88.2%
why
• league PROVEN (84.6%, n=13)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
proven · 84.6% of 13 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.8%)
draws 10.0% of matches
team history 11/2 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (88.2%)
@ 10 Nov 06:08
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
83.5%
Draw
11.8%
Away win
4.7%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:08
scoring fit λ 2.86 / μ 0.58
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
4.7%
|
21.22x | – | risky |
| Draw |
11.8%
|
8.5x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
83.5%
|
1.2x | – | solid |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Sunderland … 0.83 ppg vs Paris Saint… 1.17 ppg
Sunderland U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi…
1-2
L
26 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
3-2
L
10 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
2-2
D
06 Oct · EFL Trophy
2-0
L
22 Sep · EFL Trophy
3-3
D
18 Sep · Premier League 2 Divi…
3-1
W
Paris Saint-Germain U21 · last 6
16 Sep · Premier League Intern…
2-1
L
02 Sep · Premier League Intern…
2-1
L
19 Jan · Premier League Intern…
2-0
L
14 Dec · Premier League Intern…
2-2
D
03 Dec · Premier League Intern…
1-3
W
21 Nov · Premier League Intern…
0-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.