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Premier League 2 Division One
Sunderland U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21
Fri 06 Nov 21:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.8%
why
• league OK (67.4%, n=46)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 67.4% of 46 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 53.0%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 11/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
77.1%
Home or Draw
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.8%)
@ 06 Nov 18:03
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
57.9%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
22.9%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:03
scoring fit λ 2.55 / μ 1.60
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 291 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
22.9%
|
4.36x | 50.5% n=291 | risky | won |
| Draw |
19.2%
|
5.2x | 50.5% n=291 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
57.9%
|
1.73x | 50.5% n=291 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Sunderland U21 2W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Sunderland … 0.83 ppg vs Blackburn R… 2.17 ppg
Sunderland U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi…
1-2
L
26 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
3-2
L
10 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
2-2
D
06 Oct · EFL Trophy
2-0
L
22 Sep · EFL Trophy
3-3
D
18 Sep · Premier League 2 Divi…
3-1
W
Blackburn Rovers U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi…
1-2
W
30 Oct · Premier League Cup
2-1
W
26 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi…
4-2
W
12 Oct · Premier League Cup
3-3
D
19 Sep · Premier League 2 Divi…
0-1
W
14 Sep · Premier League 2 Divi…
2-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Premier League 2 Divi…
Sunderland U21 1-2 Blackburn Rover…
15 Apr 26 · Premier League Cup
Sunderland U21 4-2 Blackburn Rover…
28 Apr 24 · Premier League 2 Divi…
Blackburn Rover… 0-4 Sunderland U21
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